Fantasy Football News Blog

2011 Mock NFL Draft

2011-04-26T19:00:00.000-07:00

1. Car - Blaine Gabbert, QB, Missouri
2. Den - Marcell Dareus, DT, Alabama
3. Buf - Cam Newton, QB, Auburn
4. Cin - A.J. Green, WR, Georgia
5. Ari - Von Miller, OLB, Texas A&M
6. Cle - Patrick Peterson, CB, LSU
7. SF - Robert Quinn, DE, North Carolina
8. Ten - Nick Fairley, DT, Auburn
9. Dal - Tyron Smith, OT, Southern California
10. Was - Jake Locker, QB, Washington
11. Hou - Prince Amukamara, CB, Nebraska
12. Min - J.J. Watt, DE, Wisconsin
13. Det - Anthony Castonzo, OT, Boston College
14. Stl - Julio Jones, WR, Alabama
15. Mia - Mike Pouncey, OG, Florida
16. Jac - Ryan Kerrigan, DE, Purdue
17. NE - Cameron Jordan, DE, California
18. SD - Aldon Smith, DE, Missouri
19. Nyg - Corey Liuget, DT, Illinois
20. TB - Da'Quan Bowers, DE, Clemson
21. Kan - Akeem Ayers, OLB, UCLA
22. Ind - Nate Solder, OT, Colorado
23. Phi - Gabe Carimi, OT, Wisconsin
24. NO - Adrian Clayborn, DE, Iowa
25. Sea - Jimmy Smith, CB, Colorado
26. Bal - Muhammad Wilkerson, DT, Temple
27. Atl - Jabaal Sheard, DE, Pittsburgh
28. NE - Danny Watkins, OG, Baylor
29. Chi - Derek Sherrod, OT, Mississippi State
30. Nyj - Phil Taylor, DT, Baylor
31. Pit - Marcus Cannon, G, TCU
32. GB - Brooks Reed, DE/OLB, Arizona

TE Tamme looks Like A Clark Clone

2010-11-05T17:59:00.000-07:00

Indianapolis Colts' tight end, Jacob Tamme, has been called a Dallas Clark clone in practice by Colt's coaches, but he actually performed that way in his first start catching 6 passes for 64 yards and one touchdown in the Colts 30-17 win over the Texans.

Tamme Will be the Colts starting tight end for the remainder of the year as starter Dallas Clark is out for the season with a wrist injury.

Tamme was selected in the fourth-round out of Kentucky in 2008, but has yet to have a chance to prove himself. At 6-3, he is the same size as Clark, and while he is a bit lighter and not quite the blocker, he seems to be near the same level as Clark as a receiver and that should bode well for all fantasy owners.

Sin City Scout

RB Blount Takes Over in Tampa

2010-10-31T23:44:00.000-07:00

Tampa Bay Buccaneers running back, LeGarrette Blount, has led the Bucs in rushing for two consecutive games. He rushed for 72 yards on 11 carries in last weeks 18-17 win over the Rams and then rushed 22 times for 120 yards and 2 touchdowns in the Bucs 38-35 win over the Cardinals.

You might remember Blount as the Oregon running back who punched a Boise State player and was suspended most of the 2009 season and was thusly undrafted in 2010.

The 6'0, 249 back was slated for a big year in 2009 after rushing for 1,007 yards and 17 touchdowns as a junior at Oregon. He did carry five time for 36 yards and a touchdown in the 2010 Rose Bowl after his reinstatement.

He is a legitimate prospect and after Sunday's performance everybody will be trying to get him.

Sin City Scout

WR Report: Week 6

2010-10-20T18:00:00.000-07:00

Mike Williams - Seahawks
Posted a career-high 10 catches for 123 yards in the Seahawks 23-20 win over the Bears. He hasn't showed his big-play ability yet, but this performance could be the start of a new relationship between him and quarterback Matt Hasselback.

Jason Avant - Eagles
With DeSean Jackson out, Avant should get at the start and pick up some decent reception numbers against the Titans. He caught 5 passes for 62 yards in the Eagles 31-17 win over the Falcons and has 18 catches for 180 yards in 2010. He has some value in PPR leagues, but lacks big-play ability to be successful in others.

Patrick Crayton - Chargers
With Malcolm Floyd possibly missing action and Vincent Jackson still unsigned, Crayton could finally get a chance to shine over the next few weeks in San Diego. He caught 6 passes for 117 yards in the Chargers 20-17 loss against the Rams.

Anthony Armstrong - Redskins
There is very little upside for the 27-year-old rookie, but he is getting the looks and now has 8 catches for 130 yards and a touchdown in the last two games. He makes a solid start during the bye weeks if you are in need.

Deon Butler - Seahawks
The third-round draft-pick has been just under the radar, but as the Seattle offense continues to mesh, he should continue to see more looks and bigger fantasy numbers. He caught 4 passes for 47 yards and his second touchdown of the season in the Seahawks 23-20 win over the Bears.

Danario Alexander - Rams
The undrafted rookie out of Missouri had quite a debut catching 4 passes for 72 yards and 1 touchdown in the rams 20-17 win over the Chargers. The Rams are playing good ball with Sam Bradford and Mark Clayton's injury has opened the door for the 6-5 rookie.

Damian Williams - Titans
The third-round draft-pick is starting to get involved in the offense and managed 4 catches for 48 yards in Tennessee's 30-3 win over the Jaguars.

Torain the Man in Washington

2010-10-10T20:45:00.000-07:00

The season started with a crowded backfield full of big names and today the one small name remains and that is sleeper Ryan Torain.

Ryan Torain didn't have a huge game and is be no means a top player at this point, but he is getting the carries for a team who is playing solid ball and a coach, Mike Shanahan, knows how to run the ball.

He rushed 16 times for 40 yards against the tough Packer defense in the Skins' 16-13 win. He also caught 4 passes for 27 yards. This is after his 18 carry, 70 yard and one touchdown performance last week.

The injured Clinton Portis will be back at some point, but they will split the load and Torain may slowly take over if he can stay healthy.

In the end Torain is Shanahan's pick when he was in Denver and Shanahan would love to see him become a dominate back in Washington and so will some fantasy owners.

Sin City Scout

Rams' Amendola Catches 12

2010-10-10T19:11:00.000-07:00

St. Louis Rams receiver, Danny Amendola, caught 12 passes for 95 yards in the Rams 44-6 loss to the Lions.

Amendola is an undrafted fourth-year player who may remind you of a poorman's Wes Welker. He had receptions for 2,246 yards and 15 touchdowns in his career at Texas Tech and spent a few years on various practice squads before making on the Rams in 2009 and he managed 43 catches for 326 yards and one touchdown as a rookie.

Amendola has 33 catches for 303 yards and no touchdowns thus far in 2010. He has zero big-play ability and wouldn't score much in the Rams offense anyway, but in a PPR league he can put up some very solid fantasy numbers as the season goes on.

Sin City Scout

Rookie Willams Catches 3rd TD

2010-10-10T18:36:00.000-07:00

Tampa Bay Buccaneer rookie wide receiver, Mike Williams, caught his third touchdown of the season in the Bucs big overtime win against the Bengals. Williams finished the game with 7 catches for 99 yards and the one touchdown.

Williams was the Bucs fourth-pick in the 2010 draft. He had 49 receptions for 746 yards and six touchdowns for the Orangemen before quitting for personal reasons.

Overall in 2010 Williams has caught 19 passes for 238 yards and three touchdowns. With Josh Freeman getting better and better at quarterback, Williams will continue to make a bigger fantasy impact.

Sin City Scout

Fitzpatrick Becoming Fantasy Option

2010-10-10T17:51:00.000-07:00

Buffalo Bills starting quarterback, Ryan Fitzpatrick, is popping up on the fantasy radar, especially with the byes. Better yet, he is coming up with some pretty solid fantasy numbers, solid enough to possibly be kept as a backup.

In Sundays' 36-26 loss to the Jaguars Fitzpatrick went 20-30 for 220 yards and 3 touchdowns and no interceptions.

Yes, it was the Jaguar pass defense, which ranks amongst the worst, but he is playing good enough to warrant a backup job in larger leagues.

He went 20-28 with two touchdowns and two interceptions against the weak Patriot secondary and 12-27 with two touchdowns and no interceptions against the Jets. The point is all of these games are solid performances and as quarterbacks fall to injury it is only a matter of time before some team scoops him up for good in your fantasy league.

Sin City Scout

Lynch Trade Effect

2010-10-06T05:35:00.000-07:00

Marshawn Lynch was traded to the Seattle Seahawks from the Buffalo Bills. In addition to Lynch this has an affect on 3 other players. Here is the breakdown:

Marshawn Lynch: This move increases Lynch's value. Don't get me wrong, he is still on the lower end of RBs, but he should get more attempts in Seattle then he was going to get in Buffalo. Still, if he is available in your league, he is worth a flyer as he could take over the Seattle run game.

Justin Forsett: This move hurts Forsett. Julius Jones was not much in the way of competition for Forsett in Seattle's backfield, but Lynch is. I have to believe this will be a fairly even split between the two. However, I like Lynch's upside a little more the Forsett so this could prove to be very bad.

C.J. Spiller: Spiller is the reason that Lynch became expendable. But, since an outstanding preseason, Spiller hasn't done a whole lot. Still, one less person to share carries with will increase Spiller's value.

Fred Jackson: This move helps out Jackson the most (in my opinion). Jackson has been Mr. Consistent for the Bills and I think that he will get the bulk of the carries now. Spiller is much more exciting, but I think he will end being a change of pace back with Jackson being the 'Meat and Potatoes' guy.

So, Lynch up, Forsett down, Spiller up, and Jackson up.

-Scout Monkey

( scout_monkey@gmx.com)

TE Moeaki Becoming Fantasy Starter

2010-09-28T00:16:00.000-07:00

Kansas City Chief rookie tight end, Tony Moeaki, caught 4 passes for 41 yards and a touchdown in the Chiefs 31-10 trouncing of the 49ers.

It was his second touchdown catch of the season for the Chiefs 2010 third-round pick. For the season he has 12 catches for 123 yards. Those are very nice numbers when you consider that the Chief passing offense has not been much this season.

If the K.C. passing offense can kick it up a notch Tony Moeaki should make for a very solid medium to low-end fantasy starting tight end.

Sin City Scout

Forsett Takes Over in Seattle

2010-09-27T23:38:00.000-07:00

It wasn't exactly an amazing performance, but Justin Forsett finally got to carry the load in the backfield in Seattle's 27-20 win over the Chargers.

He pounded out a tough 63 yards on 17 carries meanwhile running back Leon Washington finished with one carry and zero yards. Julius Jones did not see action.

Most importantly is the Seahawks won the game and he was a part of it. Combine that with a solid three catch 31 performance and Forsett has a shot at being the feature back in Seattle.

Overall he has rushed for 150 yards @ 4.7 yards a carry and has caught seven passes for 56 yards. He has yet to see the end zone, but he will never be a big touchdown-back.

Pete Carroll has the Seahawks winning and he wants to have a consistent offense. Forsett may not be a stud, but his big-play ability coupled with his possible reception numbers will make him a very decent fantasy back if he continues to be the feature back in the Seattle Seahawk offense. He is definitely worth pickign up in most leagues and should be target for a cheap trade.

Sin City Scout

RB Hillis Goes for 144 in Loss

2010-09-26T15:44:00.000-07:00

Unheralded Cleveland Brown running back, Peyton Hillis, ran for 144 yards and a touchdown in the Browns 24-17 loss to the Ravens. In addition he caught seven passes for 36 yards. Hillis rushed 9 times for 41 yards and a touchdown in the first week and then rushed for 35 yards and a touchdown last week.

Hillis is an injury-prone back, but plays well every time he is given a chance and it seems like he has taken over as the starter in Cleveland.

Jerome Harrison was placed on the inactive list for Sunday's game against the Ravens because of a thigh injury. If you can own both until we see if Hillis can last more than half a season, it would be wise.

Sin City Scout

Saints' WR Moore Explodes

2010-09-26T15:30:00.000-07:00

New Orleans Saints' wide receiver, Lance Moore, caught 6 passes for 149 yards and two touchdowns and returned another touchdown on a punt in the Saints 27-24 overtime loss to the Falcons.

The problem with owning Lance Moore is his lack of consistency. In fact, that is the problem with owning any Saint receiver. Brees spreads the ball around to everyone, and every week one player is bound to have the big game.

Nevertheless, Lance Moore is worth picking up in most leagues for depth at receiver.

Sin City Scout

Rams' Clayton Catches Two TD's

2010-09-19T16:52:00.000-07:00

St. Louis Rams wide Receiver, Mark Clayton caught just two passes in the Rams 16-14 loss to the Raiders, but both went for touchdowns.

Last week Clayton caught 10 passes for 119 yards against the Cardinals. He is quickly becoming rookie quarterbacks Sam Bradford's favorite target and with Bradford playing very solid ball, this could mean a very solid fantasy season for Clayton.

Clayton was acquired in a trade from the Ravens where the former number-one draft-pick played well, but never could quite become the star that the Ravens had hoped he's be. He may have found a new home and he may have found fantasy relevance.

Sin City Scout

Broncos' Rookie WR Breaks Out

2010-09-19T16:27:00.000-07:00

Denver Bronco rookie wide receiver, Demaryius Thomas, made his debut against the Seahawks and caught 8 passes for 97 yards and one touchdown in the Broncos 31-14 trouncing of the Seattle Seahawks.

The 6-3, 229 pounder out of Georgia Tech was selected by the Broncos with their second number-one pick (22nd overall).

The Broncos passing game has looked pretty good with the underrated Kyle Orton at the helm and you have to love Thomas' size, especially in the end zone. Eddie Royal makes a good possession receiver and that should free up Thomas with a lot of single coverage and a lot of potential big plays.

Sin City Scout

No Beanie, Hightower Goes for 115

2010-09-19T16:14:00.000-07:00

Tim Hightower rushed 11 times for 115 yards and one touchdown and caught two passes for 9 yards in the Cardinals 41-7 loss to the Falcons.
Hightower continues to start for the injured Beanie Wells, but Wells is expected to get the job back upon his return.

The bottom line here is Wells' value is dropping while Hightower's is raising. It is very likely going to be a two-back-attack upon Wells' return, but Hightower should be the main goal line back.

With that said, if you can get value for Hightower in a trade, now may the the best time to move him and if you can pick up Wells at a cheap price, do it while Hightower is peaking.

Sin City Scout

Mathews Down, Tolbert Runs in Two

2010-09-19T15:49:00.000-07:00

Chargers rookie running back Ryan Mathews injured his right ankle in the first quarter of Sunday’s game against Jacksonville.

Mike Tolbert took over and rushed for 82 yards and tow touchdowns. Tolbert in in his third season and has played very little, but has shown good receiving skills and a a good end sense. At 5-9, 243 pounds, he has the makings of an excellent goal line option.

Mathews was seen jogging on the sidelines, but did not return. He is likely to return next week, but the Chargers have found something with Tolbert and he should become part of the offense as the wees go on.

Sin City Scout

AFC Running Back Report

2010-09-18T13:40:00.000-07:00

Darren McFadden - Rushed for 95 yards on 18 carries and caught 6 passes for 55 yards and one touchdown. Michael Bush was out and McFadden took advantage.
It could be a two-back attack when he returns, but the Raiders would love to see McFadden become the main back.

Javon Ringer - He is quickly becoming a very important handcuff to Chris Johnson because of the departure of LenDale White. He looked pretty good in the preseason and carried 7 times for 31 yards and a touchdown in the Titans win over Oakland.
If Chris Johnson goes down, he would be gold.

Fred Taylor - He carried 14 times for 71 yards and caught two passes and though he won't every be great again, he makes a decent fantasy reserve. Laurence Maroney has been traded to the Broncos and has little fantasy value unless Moreno goes down to injury.
BenJarvus Green-Ellis will likely get his share of carries, making this a situation to stay away from unless desperate or prospecting.

Cedric Benson - He struggled in the Bengals loss to the Patriots rushing 15 times for 43 yards and caught just one pass. The jury is still out on exactly how good Benson really is. It is just one week, but Bernard Scott is chomping at the bit to get more carries. He carries 6 times for 35 yards and caught three passes.
Keep on eye on this situation week-to-week. Scott can still become the better fantasy back if given a chance.

Steve Slaton - The one-time fantasy-stud is now a backup with no current fantasy value, but Arian Foster's big day has increased Slatons's value. First, he now has value as Foster's handcuff, but if Foster can gain over 200 yards behind that offensive line, it is likely that Slaton could as well. The fact is Foster has no history to look at, so he could be a back who gets injured frequently or he could simply be a legitimate stud running back. The bottom line is Slaton, especially with his receiving skills, makes a decent roster stash until we learn more about Arian Foster.

Justin Forsett - He only carried 7 times, but did gain 43 yards (6.1 per carry) and caught 3 passes for 17 yards in the Seahawks big win against the 49ers. Julius Jones and Leon Washington combined for 14 carries and gained just 30 yards and caught no passes.
Clearly Forsett is the best of the bunch, but he will likely never get full load of carries because of his size and the crowded backfield. Nevertheless, as the weeks go on, he is likely to keep out performing the other two backs and should eventually become a bit more of a feature-back and become a worthwhile low-end fantasy starter, especially in PPR leagues.

Sin City Scout

First Big Injury: Ryan Grant

2010-09-14T14:42:00.000-07:00

Ryan Grant, RB for the Green Bay Packers, is most likely done for the year. Injuries are part of the game, but missing a little time and being out for the year after one game just stinks. I'm sorry Mr. Grant.

How bad is this for the Packers? In my opinion, not too bad. There is no question that the Packers were going to make their living through the air. Whatever they got from the ground game was just going to be gravy. Grant was their best option, but again, running was not the first option.

How bad is this for fantasy? That is a more interesting question. Even though running wasn't the Packers 'A' game, Grant was a full time back. There are not a whole lot of full time backs in the NFL anymore, so that gave Grant some serious value. Enough value that it was not a stretch to see him go early in the second round. So his injury is probably far more painful to fantasy teams then his NFL team.

So, who's the backup and should you grab him. Brandon Jackson and YES! Here's the thing, Jackson is alright. He's not great, he's not bad, he will get the job done. He will also be a full time back. To be able to pick up a full time back off of waivers should be done in all but the shallowest leagues.

Packers might try to sign someone, but they have pegged Jackson as their guy.

So, sorry all you Grant owners (and sorry to Ryan Grant), but it's time for plan 'B'. Plan 'B' is clearly Brandon Jackson.

-Scout Monkey

( scout_monkey@gmx.com)

Ravens Have Housh

2010-09-06T15:55:00.000-07:00

T.J. Houshmandzadeh has signed with the Baltimore Ravens.

Hey, didn't they also sign another big name receiver? Yep, Anquan Boldin.

Wait, don't the Ravens have one of the most consistent receivers in football, Yep, Derrick Mason.

When you add up these three guys, Ray Rice, and Joe Flacco, the Ravens have (on paper) a very, very good offense.

This move increases the value of T.J. Not sure what was going on in Seattle, but that is behind him. I wouldn't consider him an elite WR, just cuz there are so many weapons there. But he should be a strong number 2 WR for your fantasy team.

This move also affects Flacco. He was already a guy with some good upside, now that upside got a little brighter. Everywhere he looks, he will have outstanding receivers. This should make his job a lot easier. Not to mention that their running game is solid too. Flacco may break into the second tier of good QBs this year.

-Scout Monkey

( scout_monkey@gmx.com)

McFadden Up / Bush Down

2010-09-03T09:00:00.000-07:00

Michael Bush broke his hand in a preseason game. Unfortunately, he needs his hand to hold onto the ball. Best case scenario is that he is out 4 weeks. Best case doesn't always happen though.

What does this do to Bush's value? Obviously it takes a hit. Bush as a bit of a sleep coming into this year as he has a lot of talent. This injury makes him more of a sleeper. His draft spot should fall significantly with this news. However, he will return and can add a nice boost to your running game later in the season.

What does this do to Darren McFadden's value? Clearly, it makes him more valuable. McFadden was a big question mark coming into this season. He has tremendous skills, but seems to always underperform or get injured. But for at least the first several games of the season, he will get a heavy work load. If he starts living up to his potential, then Bush will have a hard time stealing too many carries away from him. This will be McFaddon's biggest (last?) opportunity to step us as an elite back.

-Scout Monkey

( scout_monkey@gmx.com)

College Football Debut for #1 Alabama without Heisman Winner

2010-09-02T22:49:00.000-07:00

The top team in the country will make their NCAA Football Betting debut on Saturday September, 4th but they’ll have to do it without their Heisman winning running back. Alabama will be without Mark Ingram for their opener against visiting San Jose State as he underwent arthroscopic surgery on his left knee Tuesday morning. That doesn’t put the Tide in any kind of jeopardy of losing this game, but it just puts a damper on what is a year full of high hopes down in Alabama.

Ingram became Alabama's first Heisman Trophy winner last season and led the tide to the national title on the strength of 1,658 yards and 20 touchdowns. His injury occurred late in Monday's practice, and although minor, rather than risk problems later in the season, they opted to take care of this as soon as possible. Everyone down in Tide territory is hoping for speedy recovery as they’ll have no problem getting past San Jose State but on September 11th they host Penn State, and not having the reigning Heisman winner for that was would be a big blow to their offense.

The attention now turns to sophomore back, Trent Richardson. Moving into a starting role should be no problem for Richardson as he ran for 751 yards last season as Ingram's backup. Backing up Richardson will be redshirt freshman Eddie Lacy, so Tide fans will get to see what the future of Bama’s backfield looks like, for a few weeks at least.

One team’s misfortune is another’s opportunity as San Jose State needs all the help they can get. Just imagine how they’re going to feel on opening day playing in front of over 100,000 screaming Tide fans, it’s going to be a thrill but they better come ready to play. First year coach, Mike MacIntyre, should have his boys ready to go. He comes in with a pretty impressive resume that includes some NFL experience with the Dallas Cowboys and Cincinnati Bengals. But his most impressive achievements to date have to be his work with the Duke Blue Devils the past two seasons.

Cowboys' Running Back Report

2010-08-29T17:46:00.000-07:00

Dallas is a balanced team, with a good passing attack and a good running attack. But who will be 'the man' this year, Barber or Jones?

Felix Jones: Felix Jones should be viewed as the number one back in Dallas. He is just more explosive then Barber. He has a lifetime average of 6.5 yards per carry and is a true 'homerun' threat at all times. It's not hard to see why he is getting the attention as the number one option. He has been slowed by the injury bug, but if he can stay healthy, he should have a very nice season.

Marion Barber: Barber has been a staple in Dallas for a few years now. I don't think there is a tougher runner in all of football (Gore is very close). However, that tough running also leads to some injuries. The power he displays also costs him some speed. You get yards from him just not the big play too often. Even as the number two back, he will get a ton of carries. This may be one of the evenest RB splits in the NFL.

Conclusion: Both of these guys should be owned in all leagues. They will both get a lot of carries (which hurts their value some, but may keep them from getting too hurt). Jones is being drafted around the 50th overall position with Barber around 70. This seems right. Alone, they would be top 20, but together, 50 and 70 is good.

-Scout Monkey

( scout_monkey@gmx.com)

Seahawks' Running Back Report

2010-08-27T07:38:00.001-07:00

The Seahawks did not have a good year last year. Their normally solid QB wasn't his old self, the receivers were up and down, and the running game struggled. What about this year? Not a whole lot has changed.

Justin Forsett: Forsett may not be labeled the starter for the Seahawks, but he will get a good share of carried. Despite sharing the load with Jones last year, he still performed well. He averaged 5.4 yards a carry (ridiculous). In addition, he caught 41 passes. His speed and catching ability makes him the first back to own on Seattle.

Leon Washington: Washington has a very similar game to Forsett. It's based on speed. Can't really call him a change of pace back and this should hurt his carries. I imagine he'll get most of his work in the special teams area.

Julius Jones: Jones has not done much of anything to impress. He averaged 3.7 yards a carry and only had one 100 yard rushing game last year. He is a stronger back then Forsett, so that should allow him to be the 'change of pace' guy. Still, not a whole lot to like here.

Conclusion: Forsett is the best option, but is still being drafted around the 130 mark. That is probably a good place for him. I just don't see Seattle being good enough for him to be a star. Washington and Jones should probably be ignored except if you are in a very deep league.

-Scout Monkey

( scout_monkey@gmx.com)

Cardinals' Running Back Report

2010-08-25T16:32:00.000-07:00

With the retirement of Kurt Warner and the loss of Anquan Boldin, the Cardinals are a huge question mark. Their amazing passing game cannot survive these changes, they will have to depend more on their running game. Who do they have to pick up this load?

Chris 'Beanie' Wells: Last year was his first in the NFL for this former Ohio State star. Although he didn't light the world on fire, he did enough to wrangle the starting job from Timothy Hightower. Wells cracked 100 yards in a game only once, but still had a nice 4.5 yards per carry. Some of that may have to do with the opponents trying to defend the pass. That won't happen as much this year, but the running game should be used more prominently.

Timothy Hightower: Hightower lost his starting role to Wells mid-way through the season. He showed a good ability in short yardage situations and catching out of the back field, but not much else. This makes him an excellent third down back. Although he is not the starting back, and although you won't get a lot of big plays from Hightower, his catching ability and goal line potential makes him useful.

Conclusion: Wells is obviously the back of choice. Currently he is going off the boards in the low twenties. I think this is a little early due to the fact that I think the Cardinals are going to struggle and have to abandon the running game late in games. Still, this will not be an even split, so Wells should get a nice number of attempts. Hightower is going way later. He's not without value and will be the starter if anything happens to Wells (Wells was injury prone in college).

-Scout Monkey

( scout_monkey@gmx.com)

Giants' Running Back Report

2010-08-24T08:19:00.000-07:00

Thunder and Lighting. This has been the nickname for the Giants running attack since the days of Tiki Barber. Not a whole lot has changed since then. The Giants still have a big man and a small man (it's all relative).

Big Man: Brandon Jacobs. Jacobs has been the feature back for the Giants for a few years now. He is big, strong, and has good feet. This combination has made him an outstanding running back that struck fear into all would be tacklers. However, after a 15 TD year in 2008, Jacobs had a poor 2009. He only had 835 yards and 5 TD (plus 1 more receiving). He blames this completely on a partially torn meniscus he suffered in week one. He never felt healthy. Now recovered, he feels that he is back to his old self.

Small Man: Ahmad Bradshaw. Bradshaw is definitely the 'lightning' of this attack. He is very fast and can break a big play at any time. Last year, in the back-up role, he ran for 778 yards, 7 TD, and has a good 4.8 yards a carry. Last year, Bradshaw was also suffering through injuries in his foot. He too is mended.

Conclusion: Both backs should see a lot of carries. The question is who will be the number 1 guy. As of now, it's unclear. Most seem to believe that it will be Bradshaw. I'm not convinced. If Jacobs is indeed healthy, there is no reason for the Giants to stray from their super bowl formula, a heavy dose of 'Big Man' with a mix of 'Small Man'. However, most sites have Bradshaw being drafted in the mid 20's and Jacobs in the mid 30's. If I'm choosing one, I will take Jacobs with the later pick. He has great upside (not to mention he should get the bulk of goal line carries). Bradshaw shouldn't disappoint, but I see more value in Jacobs.

-Scout Monkey

( scout_monkey@gmx.com)

Chiefs' Running Back Report

2010-08-23T07:47:00.001-07:00

KC had one of the most exciting and surprising running backs in football last year, Jamaal Charles. So what did they do? They went out and got a 1,000 yard, pro-bowl caliber running back, Thomas Jones. That's right, the Chief's running back situation looks to be strong.

Jamaal Charles: Charles is the #1 back in KC. His speed and physicality makes him a threat every time he is on the field. Not only can he run, but he has good hands too. Cassel will probably look his way for dump offs and outlet passes often. Charles is a great fantasy option (assuming he can repeat last year's performance), and would be even more valuable if KC didn't go out and get Thomas Jones.

Thomas Jones: Jones comes over from the New York Jets. He makes getting a 1000 yards seem routine. Jones is one of the hardest, toughest runners you'll see. That great power comes at the sacrifice of great speed. He is not a guy who will rip off 40 yard runs, but will get the 10-20 yard runs often, as well as the short yardage for the first or for a TD. Jones' value in fantasy takes a huge hit this year as he is no longer the #1 guy, but he is still a player that should be owned in most leagues. Charles will get most carries, but Jones will get a good amount - he's too good not to. I have to think that goal line work will go Jones' way.

Charles' draft position seems to be in the teens whereas Jones is being drafted around 40th. Charles is definitely the higher value, but I don't think the disparity in fantasy value will be as great as their draft positions are indicating. Jones could be a nice sleeper this year.

-Scout Monkey

( scout_monkey@gmx.com)

Texans' Running Back Report

2010-08-21T12:12:00.000-07:00

hings have gotten a lot easier for fantasy owners due to the unfortunate injury to rookie running back Ben Tate. Tate is out for the season after he fractured his ankle in Saturday’s 19-16 preseason loss to Arizona.
Coach Gary Kubiak said that Tate will be placed on injured reserve and undergo surgery this week.

That leaves 2010 late season surprise, Arian Foster and 2008 fantasy stud Steve Slaton to battle it out for the starting job.

Arian Foster
He is the favorite because of his size, hands and his 119 yard, two touchdown 2009 season finale performance.

At 6-1, 227 pounds, Foster has the size to be an every down back and to take the load of goal line carries. More importantly with his battle against Steve Slaton is he seems to hold on to the ball a lot better fumbling once in his 47 carries in 2009. He has potential receiving ability as well catching eight passes for 93 yards in his limited play in 2009.

Steve Slaton
The one-time fantasy-stud in the making struggled in 2009, mostly because he could not hold onto the ball. He coughed up the ball seven times with just 175 touches last season and lost his starting job. He still managed 44 catches for 417 yards and four touchdowns though he only rushed for 437 yards @ 3.3 yards a carry.

Clearly catching the ball is his strong suit, but this strength may just regulate him to being the change-of-pace back. His speed and lack of size (5-9) makes him a perfect compliment to the bigger Foster.

Slaton already lost a fumble in the red zone during Houston's preseason loss to Arizona. This along with the Ben Tate injury gives Foster the inside advantage for the coveted Houston Texan starting running back job and his ranking is is soaring upwards.

Sin City Scout

Chargers' Running Back Report

2010-08-21T04:55:00.000-07:00

Gone are the days of LT (LaDainian Tomlinson) in San Diego. What do they do now?

Answer, they turn to a rookie, Ryan Mathews out of Fresno State.

Wait a minute! Don't they have that super fast, small guy, Sproles? Yes, Darren Sproles is still there, but the Chargers do not like him as an every down back.

Mathews is a very nice compliment to Sproles (or the other way around). He is a larger back, stronger, but doesn't have the top gear like Sproles. I have seen comparisons to Matt Forte. Just because he is not as fast as Sproles (not too many are) don't think that he can't make big plays. He won't run away from guys too much, but he will break their tackles. His 1800+ yards last year shows that he can put up some big numbers (oh by the way, those yards came with him missing a game due to an injury - so the numbers are even better then they look, and they look good)

Outlook: Ryan Mathews will be the number 1 back in San Diego. The Chargers have one of the best passing games in football, so this should open up some opportunities in the running game. There is every reason to believe that Matthews will have a solid/good rookie year. He is certainly not a first rounder at this point, but he will be going fairly high (end of round two).

Darren Sproles on the other hand will resume back up duties. He has excelled here and should pretty much keep the same value he has had for the last few years. Ultimately, a great flex play.

The Chargers were 31st in running last year, they will need to improve for a serious run at the Super Bowl (which is legitimately in their sites).

-Scout Monkey

( scout_monkey@gmx.com)

Bills' Rookie Spiller Shows Flash

2010-08-20T11:22:00.000-07:00

Buffalo Bills rookie #1 draft pick (9th overall), C.J. Spiller, showed his first flash of brilliance by scoring on a 31-yard run in the Bills 34-21 win over the Indianapolis Colts. He finished the game with 10 carries for 51 yards and caught one pass.

With Fred Jackson out four to six weeks with a broken left hand and backup Marshawn Lynch nursing a sore ankle, Spiller has the chance to step up and become the feature piece of the Bill offense.

Spiller will not be an every down back, nor a goal line back, and the Bills offense isn't much to speak of, so his value is still limited, but he will be used in all facets of the game: running, receiving and in special teams by returning punts and this will lead to a very solid overall rookie season, particularly in points per reception leagues.

Sin City Scout

Welker Up, Edelman Down

2010-08-20T09:14:00.000-07:00

Wes Welker got three looks and made two catches for 20 yards and played a total of six snaps in the Patriots 28-10 preseason victory over Atlanta.

The message here simple Welker is back and is going to be a catching machine. His draft value should sky rocket near his actual value. There should still be some concern with Welker's health. It is still less than a year since his surgery. Nevertheless he should climb back into the top 50 player rankings.

This is, of course, bad news for Julian Edelman, Wes Welker's backup. He still has draft value, but his stock plummets and should be drafted only as a handcuff to Welker or a deep backup.

Sin City Scout

49ers' Running Back Report

2010-08-19T07:48:00.000-07:00

With the signing of Brian Westbrook, the 49ers have a good problem to have, two outstanding running backs.

Frank Gore: Frank Gore is their #1 back - period. He will get the bulk of the carries (as long as he is healthy). However, Westbrook will cut into some of those carries throughout the year. Gore has been a top 5 pick in fantasy and shouldn't lose too much value heading into this year. But, I do believe that the Westbrook addition will move Gore down a couple spots. On the flip side, if Gore gets a little less work, then maybe he can stay healthy all year.

Brian Westbrook: Westbrook was a top 10 draft pick in fantasy as recent as last year. But, now he has the backup role. When healthy, Westbrook is one of the best backs in football (he is really, really good). His addition should make the 49ers a very dangerous team. As the #2 back, his draft spot should fall into the middle rounds, but there is a lot to like here. He can make a great flex player, and if Gore gets hurt - you have yourself a stud.

-Scout Monkey

( scout_monkey@gmx.com)

Redskins' Running Back Report

2010-08-18T17:00:00.000-07:00

Clinton Portis
He got the start in the first week of preseason carrying six times for 22 yards. The point here is he got the first start and is likely to be the main back in a very crowded backfield.

Larry Johnson
He did not play in week one. Johnson will start the team's second preseason game.

Willie Parker
He is listed as the Redskins' number three running back, but he will get a chance to be the feature back in week three.

Ryan Torain
Shanahan drafted him and now has him in Washington. He rushed 17 times for 62 yards in the preseason opening win against Buffalo.

The Skinny
It is a mess in Washington. Not necessarily a mess for the Redskins, but a mess for fantasy owners. It is clear that the job will be Portis' to lose. It is also clear that Willie Parker has very little chance to be the starter. His is much more suited as the change of pace back that Shanahan loves to have. The wild card here is Shanahan favorite, Ryan Torain. He was on the fantasy radar before a torn anterior cruciate ligament cost him the remainder of the 2008 season and all of 2009. He can be considered a deep sleeper at this point, but is likely to be a second-stringer at best in 2010.

Sin City Scout

Raiders' Running Back Report

2010-08-18T16:03:00.000-07:00

Darren McFadden
Surprise, surprise McFadden injured the hamstring in the first practice last Saturday and missed the first preseason game against Dallas. McFadden has a history of various injuries since being drafted fourth overall in 2008.

He plays solid ball when healthy, so the flop tag is premature, but if the injuries keep up in the preseason, you need to stay away from him completely.

Michael Bush
Bush started and rushed for 7 times for 31 yards and caught one pass. His stats aren't really important in week one, but what is important is that he was healthy and looked good.

Bush is a much safer pick in your fantasy football draft at this point of preseason.

Sin City Scout

Big Names: Steelers

2010-08-18T06:52:00.000-07:00

By big names, I mean that they are not only well known, but they have a lot of letters in them.

First, lets talk about Roethlisberger. He is suspended for the first 6 games of the season. This really hurts his fantasy value. However, it is possible (and sounding very probable) that his suspension will get reduced to 4 games. So, heading into your draft, you may get a 12 game Roethlisberger at a 10 game price. Even with the loss of Santonio Holmes, Big Ben has shown that he can be a valuable fantasy QB.

Next we talk about Rashard Mendenhall. Mendenhall was a 1000 yard rusher last year, but only put up 7 TDs. He also had around 250 receiving with a TD. This should keep him in a lower draft spot for fantasy. However, with Big Ben out for the first few games (at least 4), you have to believe that Mendenhall is going to get some serious work. Consider this, if Mendenhall gets off to a great start cuz of his workload, he will be a great 'Sell high' candidate. Mendenhall has not shown that he can perform at a high level for a full season, so if you can get a few great games out of him and then trade him before he starts to wear down and before their QB comes back, you should have a decent start going for the season.

Roethlisberger and Mendenhall should not be high picks in any draft, but both should be owned. Consider all the circumstances around these two and you might be able to maximize your draft.

-Scout Monkey

( scout_monkey@gmx.com)

NFL 2010 Training Camp Report

2010-07-30T15:36:00.000-07:00

NFL Training Camps are just beginning to open and Pro Fantasy Football will be watching several position battles and rookies across the NFL. We will also be watching for key injuries to both fantasy players and their all important offensive lines.

Some key battles include:

Buffalo Bills Running backs - Fred Jackson vs. C.J. Spiller vs. Marshawn Lynch

Cleveland Browns Running backs - Jerome Harrison vs. Montario Hardesty

Houston Texans Running backs - Arian Foster vs. Steve Slaton vs. Ben Tate

Oakland Raiders Running backs - Darren McFadden vs. Michael Bush

New York Giants Running backs - Brandon Jacobs vs. Ahmad Bradshaw

Washington Redskins Running backs - Clinton Portis vs. Larry Johnson vs. Willie Parker

Detroit Lions Running backs - Kevin Smith vs. Jahvid Best

Seattle Seahawks Running backs - Justin Forsett vs. Julius Jones vs. Leon Washington

Stay tuned and check back for updates all the way into the preseason when we begin our Preseason Fantasy Football Reports.

This blog has moved

2010-04-29T17:41:00.001-07:00

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Gaining Relevance: Hakeem Nicks

2009-10-29T19:31:00.000-07:00

It feels like every week I'm saying I told you so. On one hand I feel like a jerk saying it. On the other... I am a jerk. But, I'm the jerk who told you to get Miles Austin while you still could.

This week let's stay in the NFC East and talk about another up and coming young receiver: Hakeem Nicks.

The Giants first round pick out of North Carolina had big shoes to fill. At first the focus on the Giants rookie class was on Nicks, but as camp started up a lot of the focus shifted to the Giants third round pick, Ramses Barden. Barden was all of the sudden the one people felt might make an impact and Nicks sort of shifted to the background after having a mediocre camp.

As the season began the Giants started getting production from Steve Smith and Mario Manningham and really nothing from Nicks. Nicks had 2 catches for 18 yards in his first 3 games.

Since then, however, the Giants have been getting Nicks more involved in the offense. Manningham had been the definitive number 2 target behind Steve Smith, but in the recent weeks Manningham has been sick with a case of the dropsies. He's been dropping or bobbling every thing in sight, including a certain TD last week. Even some of the plays he's made have come on bobbles that he just simply recovered. His struggles have opened the door for Nicks.

In his past 4 games, Nicks has 14 catches for 297 yards and 4 touchdowns. That includes a touchdown in four straight games. Granted last weeks TD was a bit fluke, but four straight games with a TD is nothing to sneeze at. If that doesn't impress you, consider that he's the first Hakeem that comes up when conducting a Google search. That's an honor!

I expect to see Nicks remain a part of the Giants offense and continue to give you solid fantasy production. Consider him a matchups play or 3rd receiver in 10 team leagues and a borderline every week guy at this point in deeper leagues (depending on your depth at the position, of course).

Nicks is owned in 53% of ESPN leagues.

PCB Scout

Questions? Comments? Random nonsense? Email me: pcbscout(at)gmail.com

What To Make of Miles Austin's Big Day

2009-10-16T15:03:00.000-07:00

Wow. I didn't see that coming.

Miles Austin had a gigantic game on Sunday. The 1.3% of fantasy owners that started him are carrying themselves around the way a dog does when he's got a giant stick in his mouth, this week.

In my league, he was picked up at 12:48PM Sunday and lifted my buddy B-Ru to a win over a team he would have beaten anyway. Still, B-Ru took a gamble and walked away with a big prize.

A 45 point prize to be exact. A 10 catch, 250 yard, 2 Touchdown prize.

Ok, so Austin had a huge week, but what now? What can we expect from here out? Let's break this down, shall we?

Here's what we know:

Austin got playing time because Roy Williams was out with a rib injury.
The Cowboys are on bye week this week.
Roy Williams is expected to be able to play next week.
Tony Romo has yet to really "connect" with any of his receivers this season, though has slightly with Jason Witten.
Patrick Crayton, the Cowboys current number two receiver, has had a case of the dropsies for the better part of three years.
There's no question that what Austin did last week impressed the coaching staff and his fellow teammates, most important of which is his Quarterback, Tony Romo

So what do we make of all this?

The chances Austin finds himself the number one receiver on this team are pretty minimal. With that being said, I'd expect to see him get increased playing time and targets.

Roy Williams has been virtually useless for this Dallas team, outside of Week 1 and Patrick Crayton has been something of a let down himself.

Austin is still available in over 60% of ESPN leagues. If yours is one of them, I'd definitely consider Austin worth an add. Many owners may be shying away from him because he is on Bye this week or because they want to see what role he'll play with Roy Williams back. Don't bother waiting for that or, chances are, you'll miss out.

Even in 10 team leagues, if you've got someone giving you mediocre production with little upside (think Torry Holt, et al) add Austin and see what happens. At this point, we're probably talking about your 5th or 6th receiver. I'd be surprised if many owners are getting more upside from that spot as it is.

PCB Scout

Questions? Comments? Random nonsense? Email me: pcbscout(at)gmail.com

WR Watch: Week 5

2009-10-14T18:09:00.000-07:00

Miles Austin - Cowboys: 10 catches - 250 yards 2 touchdowns
The preseason sleeper woke up and had a career game against the Chiefs. He should move in as Romo's second favorite receiver which means more targets, though don't expect many more 10 catch games.

Chris Henry - Bengals: 3 catches - 91 yards
He has been a non-factor thus far, but finally showed up with a big 73 yard catch. There are too many targets in Cincinnati, but at least keep an eye on Henry.

Mike Wallace - Steelers: 2 catches - 52 yards 1 touchdown
It is hard to get excited about a Steeler #3 wideout, but he is putting up decent numbers.

Eddie Royal - Broncos: 10 catches - 90 yards
He finally came up big in PPR leagues, but his value is steal shaky with a conservative Bronco offense and a slightly above average Orton throwing to him. Nevertheless, he has been cut and is worth a look if you can snag him.

Donnie Avery - Rams: 5 catches - 87 yards 1 touchdown
Avery is the real-deal, but the Rams aren't. Still, they can improve a bit as the season progresses and Avery will be the man in St. Louis.

Hakeem Nicks - Giants: 4 catches - 49 yards 1 touchdown
Nicks has the knack for finding the end zone, but with Manningham and Smith playing well, starting him would be a roll of the dice unless a starter is injured.

Jeremy Maclin - Eagles: 6 catches - 142 yards with 2 touchdowns
He showed his big-play ability by scoring on deep passes of 51 and 40 yards while starting in place of Kevin Curtis. Good bye Kevin Curtis.

Austin Collie - Colts: 8 catches - 97 yards 2 TD's
He's has surpassed Garcon in fantasy value and could keep Gonzales out of the starting line if he continues to play well.

Josh Morgan - 49ers: 4 catches passes 78 yards
Back-to-back solid games for Morgan makes him a viable low-end fantasy receiver.

When Will Warner's Luck Run Out?

2009-10-10T15:04:00.000-07:00

Coming into 2008 Arizona Cardinal quarterback, Kurt Warner, was not even on most mangers fantasy radar as the job was expected to go to former #1 pick Matt Leinart.

30 touchdowns, and 4,583 yards later, Kurt Warner was every managers free agent dream come true.

What was more amazing, the 38-year-old, fragile quarterback didn't miss a game in 2008. Part of that is due to Warner's amazing quick release, but more of it was due to shear luck.

Thus far in 2009 Warner has continued to have solid protection, though the hits are adding up. His game, on the other hand, has seen a dramatic drop off from his 2008 performance. Warner has thrown for 863 yards and a mere 4 touchdowns against 4 touchdowns. Not horrible, but not what some fantasy managers expected.

There is not likely to be a controversy anytime soon, but it could happened by week six or seven if he and the Cardinals do not improve. But Warner owners should have a bigger worry. His potential for injury.

While it is impossible to guess when a player will be injured, the odds suggest Kurt Warner is way overdue. And if Warner gets injured, say a concussion, it will likely mean the end of the road for him.

Enter back up quarterback Matt Leinart.

The 10th overall-pick from USC has been a disappointment thus far, but not a bust. While he was expected to be starting by now, the Cardinals, like fantasy mangers, did not expect Kurt Warner to resurrect himself.

Leinart actually had a very solid rookie season throwing for 2,547 yards and 11 touchdowns and 12 interceptions in 2006. He regressed early in 2007 and that is when Kurt Warner ran away with the job.

Now Leinart has had the time to mature and learn from the great Kurt Warner and is primed to start again in the NFL. The only question is when.

Warner owners would be wise to pick up Leinart now or in the next few weeks as an insurance policy.

All other owners should grab Leinart if they have an extra roster spot open for a prospect. It can payoff big if Kurt Warner finally goes down to injury.

Sin City Scout

Antonio Bryant on the Rise?

2009-10-10T08:39:00.000-07:00

Let's begin by reviewing my projection for Glen Coffee last week. I projected: 22 carries, 109 yards, 1TD, as well as 4 rec. for 19 yards. Here's what he actually did: 24 carries, 74 yards, 4 rec. 32 yards.

Okay so I was off by 22 total yards and a TD. Not terrible. I should have known better than to project a TD. They are hard to predict because you never know when the opportunity will arise and when your defense scores 3 of them, that's less chances for you. Still, I am pleased with the projection and I presume those who started Coffee are pleased enough with his production.

For the record, I like him again this week.

With that behind us, let's take a look at a Wide Receiver who might be available in your league and might just be able to give you some very low priced production.

Antonio Bryant, Tampa Bay: Coming in to the season, Bryant was a guy people expected decent output from, but were skeptical to trust. So far that's proven to be a reasonable assessment.

Through 3 weeks Bryant had been worthless for his owners. He caught 3 balls for 35 yards through 3 weeks, including a zero catch output in week 2. Those numbers are a virtual negative if you consider who you probably could have started in his position.

After that, however, something changed for the Buccaneers; they benched Byron Leftwich and began to start Josh Johnson. In week 4 Bryant finally showed up for his owners with 4 catches for 44 yards and a TD. Granted, that's not a huge performance, but Bryant has enough upside that it could be a sign of chemistry with Johnson and better things to come.

Coming out of drafts Bryant was owned in 100% of leagues. Since then 30% of his owners have given up on him.

The Bucs are a team that's going to be down and going to be throwing the ball. If you're in one of those 30% of leagues, snag this guy up and wait a few weeks to see if last week was a fluke or not. I'm betting he doesn't give your number one WR numbers, but could give you number two type digits.

I don't know about you, but I'll take a free number two receiver.

PCB Scout

Questions? Comments? Random nonsense? Email me: pcbscout(at)gmail.com

WR Watch: Week 4

2009-10-07T17:50:00.000-07:00

Mike Sims-Walker - Jaguars: 7 catches - 91 yards 2 TD's
He has taken over as Garrard's #1 target and is on his way to a 1,000 yard season.

Johnny Knox - Bears: 5 catches - 31 yards - 102 yard TD Kickoff Return
He is getting the targets, even though 31 yards won't pay the bills, but a return TD will.

Josh Morgan - 49ers: 2 catches passes 39 yards 1 TD
He has done very little to excite fantasy owners, but him and Shaun Hill both have room to grow. Keep an eye on him.

Micheal Crabtree - 49ers: Agrees to 6-year deal.
Missing camp and preseason makes 2009 a inconsequential year for Crabtree. At best he may catch some deep passes or contribute late in the season. Not worth a look for at least a month.

Austin Collie - Colts: 6 catches - 65 1 TD
He's splitting time as the second receiver with Garcon and could have a good game on any given week if you are in need.

Mohamed Massaquoi - Browns: 8 catches - 148 yards
The rookie has some chemistry with Derek Anderson and now Braylon Edwards is gone.

Kenny Britt - Titans: 7 catches - 105 yards
It is looking as if he may become the #1 receiver in Tennessee, but Titans' passing game is dreadful right now. Still, Britt has huge upside.

Donnie Avery - Rams: 3 catches - 47 yards
The preseason prospect is healing up from his injury and is again the #1 in St. Louis. Now if somebody could only throw it to him.

Pierre Garcon - Colts: 3 catches - 71 yards
Not helpful in a PPR league, but has 2 TD's in 4 games.

Mendenhall Breaks Out Sunday Night

2009-10-04T23:37:00.000-07:00

Steelers running back Rashard Mendenhall has been dogged since having fumbling problems as a rookie, but an injury to Willie Parker, put Mendenhall into the starting lineup on Sunday Night Football against the San Diego Chargers and the real Rashard Mendenhall finally showed up.

He showed up with a break out performance rushing for 165 yards on 29 carries and two touchdowns. He added 26 yards on two catches.

Mendenhall was the Steelers #1 pick of the 2008 draft out of Illinois, but missed most of the season with a knee injury.

The Steelers would like to have a pounding-back like Mendenhall to complement the speed of Willie Parker. Both can be good fantasy backs because Mendenhall will get the goal line carries and Parker has the big-play-ability and should get more receptions.

Sin City Scout

Rookie WR Massaquoi Comes Up Big

2009-10-04T14:53:00.000-07:00

Cleveland Brown rookie receiver Mohamed Massaqoui caught 8 passes for 148 yards in the Browns 23-20 overtime loss to the Bengals.

Massaquoi was drafted in the second round out of Georgia where he caught 158 passes for 2,282 yards (14.4 avg) and 16 touchdowns in his career.

With Brady Quinn he only caught 2 passes in three games, so this could be a fluke or he just has a connection with Derek Anderson. Either way he is worth a look if you need a receiver and should go on everyone's radar.

Sin City Scout

Glen Coffee, Handcuff to Starter

2009-10-02T13:04:00.000-07:00

I handed it to you. I handed you Glen Coffee.

If you were one of the three people who read my "Handcuff Hero" column in the preseason about Glen Coffee, I can only hope you listened. And since one of those people was me and one was my mother I hope you, lone true reader, listened.

Somehow Coffee is still available in 42% of ESPN.com leagues. So if yours is one of them, I'm going to skip to the part where I tell you to run out and get him because if you wait until you're done reading this he might be gone. Go head. I'll wait.....

Ok, so now that you have Coffee, should you start him? What's he going to do this week? Well, let me make that part short and sweet: START GLEN COFFEE THIS WEEK!!!

Some rankings have Coffee as a flex option this week. That is to say he would be somewhere in the 20-30 area in terms of running backs. I'm here to tell you he should be higher than that.

Coffee is an outstanding talent, who led the NFL in rushing yards this preseason. He's playing on a 49ers team that runs the ball a lot and when they are passing, often passes the ball to their Running Back. On top of that the 49ers are playing the St. Louis Rams who are 27th in the NFL against the run. What more do you need to know here?!? A projection? Ok, I'll give you a projection:

Final line for Glen Coffee:
22 carries, 109 yards, 1TD. 4 Receptions, 19 yards.

Don't make me say I told you so.

PCB Scout

Questions? Comments? Random nonsense? Email me: pcbscout(at)gmail.com

Browns RB Harrison Could Start

2009-10-01T23:59:00.000-07:00

Cleveland running back, Jerome Harrison could get the start against the Cincinnati Bengals if starting running back Jamal Lewis can't go.

Lewis is nursing a hamstring injury and is listed as questionable.

Harrison played solid against the dominating Ravens rushing for 52 yards on 16 carries and caught 5 passes for 33 yards.

Rookie 6th-round-draft-pick, James Davis, should also see a share of the carries if Lewis is out, but Harrison should have more fantasy value, especially in a PPR league.

Harrison was a 5th-round pick in the 2006 from Washington State where he broke the record for most consecutive games with 100 or more yards by a Pac-10 runner, with 16.

He is small at 5'9, so he doesn't look like an everyday back, but his big-play ability combined with his good hands can make him a solid fantasy backup in deep leagues.

Sin City Scout

RB Report Week 3

2009-10-01T17:44:00.000-07:00

LeSean McCoy - Eagles: 20 carries - 84 yards 1 TD - 1 Rec - 9 yards
Still available in some leagues and will make a good start when often-injured Brian Westbrook is out.

Glen Coffee - 49ers: 25 carries - 54 yards
Frank Gore is out and Coffee will start.

Fred Taylor - Patriots: 21 carries -105 yards 1 TD, 1 Rec - 4 yards
Laurence Maroney left the game with a thigh injury and Taylor looked good and could keep getting the majority of the carries.

Jamaal Charles - Chiefs: - 6 carries - 36 yards - 3 Rec - 34 yards
He was much more effective than Larry Johnson and his playing time could increase.

Jerome Harrison - Browns: 16 carries - 52 yards, 5 Rec - 33 yards
Big-play type, but not an ever down back, but Jamal Lewis' age and injury, he should get some good running time as well as use as a third-down back.

Maurice Morris - Lions: 8 carries - 10 yards 1 TD
Kevin Smith is listed as a limited practice participant Thursday, so he could still start. Morris is only worth a look if desperate.

The Saints RB Situation: Week 3

2009-09-24T15:34:00.000-07:00

Wow! This is my third column this year about someone named Pierre. My second in two weeks. Either I'm embracing my French culture more or more guys named Pierre are becoming solid athletes. Probably both.

Ok, let's get to the stuff you care about. And yes, I mean you, the one person who reads my column.

Before the season began Pierre Thomas was on everyones radar, and why wouldn't he be? This is a guy who was responsible for tremendous output in the final 7 weeks of last season, out of no where. This is also a guy who was slated to get the bulk of the carries for an offense that is among the most explosive in the league.

Then came the MCL sprain. All of the sudden, Thomas owners went from being excited about the potential value of their pick to that terrible position fantasy owners dread. That awful spot when a guy goes down with a week to week injury. Now you're constantly searching for updates on his injury status. Is he going to play? Is he going to get touches if he does? Is it bad that my week depends entirely on the previous weekends fantasy results? Ok, maybe that's just me.

In his absence, Mike Bell has done an outstanding job (see my preseason column about Mike Bell... you're welcome) and it started to look like Thomas would take a back seat. However, the tables have turned. Now it's Bell who is down with an MCL sprain.

Thomas returned to action last week, which tells me he's ready to go. Granted he was not effective in his one touch, but let's be serious, it was one touch.

Bell on the other hand has not participated in practice this week and if he doesn't participate again on Friday, I would not expect to see him on the field against Buffalo. That should allow Thomas to slip back in as the premier rusher for the Saints, with Reggie Bush continuing to get his usual action.

There's one more thing to consider though; Is Thomas startable against a Buffalo defense that's only allowed 65 yards per game on the ground? Let's break this down, shall we?

We already know Buffalo has been effective so far stopping the run against the Patriots and Buccaneers. Neither of those are marquee rushing attacks. Also, while they've allowed only 65 yards per game on the ground, in each games they've allowed 9 receptions to running backs for an excess of 60 yards per game. To top that off, the Bills lost their Middle Linebacker Paul Posluszny in the opening game and are using a backup in his place.

Another thing to consider here is the motivation to run the ball. I expect the Saints will outmatch the Bills and get up early, allowing them to lean a bit harder on the running game. On top of that they are expecting rain in Buffalo on Sunday, which could force the Saints to commit to the ground game more than usual.

Because of those factors, I am starting Pierre Thomas this Sunday as a RB3/Flex. To give you an idea of what range of players to consider him in; my RB1 and RB2 are D'Angelo Williams and Ryan Grant. I would not start Thomas over either of those players, but I am starting him ahead of Jamal Lewis and Julius Jones.

Let's just hope I'm right about Pierre. The rest of my week depends on it.

PCB Scout

Questions? Comments? Random nonsense? Email me: pcbscout(at)gmail.com

Seahawks RB Forsett Gets Playing Time

2009-09-23T00:28:00.000-07:00

Seattle Seahawks running back, Justin Forsett, rushed five times for 35 yards and caught six passes for 57 yards in Sunday's loss to San Francisco.

It is early, but so his role as a receiver out-of-the-backfield might make him a worthwhile fantasy back in PPR leagues.

The 7th-round-draft-pick is likely too small (5-8) to be an every down back, but he could play a role similar to Leon Washington did for the Jets in 2008.

In the end, Julius Jones is solid at best and the fact is he is often-inured. That should give Forsett plenty of opportunities to shine in 2009.

Sin City Scout

WR Watch: Week 2

2009-09-23T00:03:00.000-07:00

Mario Manningham - Giants - 10 catches -150 yards 1TD

Mike Sims-Walker - Jaguars - 6 catches - 106 yards 1 TD

Johnny Knox - Bears - 6 catches - 70 yards 1TD

Devery Henderson - Saints - 3 catches - 71 yards

Chansi Stuckey - Jets - 4 catches - 64 yards 1 TD

Julian Edelman - Patriots - 8 catches - 98 yards

Laurent Robinson - Rams - 6 catches - 54 yards 1 TD

Barber Out, Choice In...Maybe

2009-09-22T23:16:00.000-07:00

The news is bad, but not horrible for Marion Barber owners. He was expected to miss at least one game and possibly two due to his injury, but Monday's MRI confirmed that Barber has nothing worse than a he strained quadriceps and he received treatment Tuesday and hopes to play on Monday night against the Panthers.

Tashard Choice will be worth picking up if available and will make a solid start Monday night against the Carolina Panthers in Dallas if Barber is out.

Naturally, Felix Jones will also see more action, likely either way, which is great news after his big game on Sunday night. He is a must start.

Sin City Scout

WR Robinson Becoming Rams' #1

2009-09-20T19:56:00.000-07:00

Donnie Avery was supposed to be the main man in St. Louis with the departure of the great Torry Holt, but his preseason injury has given third-year wideout Laurent Robinson the chance to step up and Robinson has done just that.

He caught 5 passes for 87 yards in his debut as a Rams' starter and came back and caught 6 passes for 54 yards and his first Ram touchdown in the Rams 9-7 loss to Washington.

Laurent Robinson was drafted in the third-round by Atlanta in 2007 and had a good rookie year catching 37 passes for 437 yards and a touchdown.

He fell out of favor in 2008 due to injuries and the rise of Roddy White.

In three preseason contests, Robinson has caught 10 passes for 137 yards.

Considering the Rams have done very little, Robinson is putting up some solid starts. He is worth a look if you are in need of a wide receiver.

Sin City Scout

Replacing Anthony Gonzalez

2009-09-17T14:07:00.000-07:00

Indianapolis Colts receiver Anthony Gonzalez sprained multiple knee ligaments in Sunday's Week 1 win over Jacksonville.

The Colts are saying Gonzalez could be off the field for as much as 8 weeks. This is a big loss for fantasy owners, who were expecting big things from the 3rd year pro out of Ohio State.

Gonzalez was taken at an average draft position of 92 (28th among WR) making him a third receiver for most players and a very early 10th round pick.

Gonzalez owners, however, were for the most part expecting to get better than 3rd receiver value from Gonzalez, who was expected to be a bigger part of the Colts offense with the loss of Marvin Harrison. This year marked his first chance to crack the starting line up for the Colts super powered offense.

In the absence of AGonz the Colts have a few places to turn. For one, they just signed veteran receiver Hank Baskett, who while experienced, is best known these days for his Playmate wife. Lucky bast... nevermind. Baskett gives them some size on the outside that they lack with the other guys on the roster but, he doesn't know the offense yet, so may only see limited time for the next couple of weeks.

That brings us to the other two, more likely to succeed options: Pierre Garcon and Austin Collie.

Garcon is a second year guy who Peyton Manning seems to like and who caught three balls in the season opener. Plus, let's be serious, how fantastic of a name is Pierre Garcon?!

Collie is a rookie wideout out of BYU that the Colts really seem to like and who had a very solid camp.

If you listen to Manning, and I do, it seems like Garcon is the more promising option. He was quoted as saying:

"Pierre is going to be a big part of our game plan, Austin Collie, too, no question... But this is the NFL. You can't just draw up a play and say this ball has got to go to Dallas Clark. Pierre has worked hard over here, I think he spent six hours over the last two days studying film and Austin has done that as well."

Personally, if I had a roster spot to spend, or if I had been a Gonzalez owner in a deeper league looking for a viable replacement I'd take a flier on Garcon and keep my eye on Baskett and Collie.

We all know the Colts offense is a place for any offensive skill player to shine. Don't let those guys shine one someone else's roster.

PCB Scout

Questions? Comments? Random nonsense? Email me: pcbscout(at)gmail.com

WR Watch: Week 1

2009-09-14T22:55:00.000-07:00

Here are the list of possible free agent receivers to watch after their week one performance:

Michael Clayton - Tampa Bay - 5 catches 95 yards

Percy Harvin - Minnesota - 3 catches 36 yards 1 TD

Mark Bradley - Kansas City - 4 catches 78 yards

Mark Clatyon - Baltimore - 5 catches 77 yards 1 TD

Chansi Stuckey - Jets - 4 catches - 64 yards 1 TD

Steve Smith - Giants - 6 catches 80 yards

Laurent Robinson - St. Louis - 5 catches 87 yards

Earl Bennett - Chicago - 7 catches - 66 yards

Kenny Brit - Tennessee - 4 catches 88 yards

Devone Bess - Miami - 7 catches - 57 yards

Andre Cadwell - Cincinnati - 6 catches 54 yards

Louis Murphy - Raiders - 4 catches 87 yards 1 TD

- Sin City Scout

WR Gage Comes up Big in Loss

2009-09-11T00:49:00.000-07:00

Tennessee Titan wide receiver Justin Gage caught 7 passes for 77 yards and 1 TD in the Titans 13-10 overtime loss to the Steelers in Pittsburgh.

Gage was very good when he was healthy in 2008. He was excellent in the preseason. He just had a pretty darn good game against the tough Steeler defense...He just may be the real deal...if he can stay healthy.

Gage is likely available in your league and is worth a definite look if you are in need of a receiver.

Sin City Scout

The Clock is Ticking.......

2009-09-10T09:45:00.000-07:00

There are only a few hours left until we can all enjoy the greatness that is the NFL.

Here are some players to keep an eye on during the first week.

Rashard Mendenhall RB PIT– The second year RB out of Illinois should provide a change of pace for Steelers. Willie Parker is still the main guy, and if healthy will see the majority of the carriers, but with Mendenhall’s size 5’10” 225 he should be used a lot to punish the defenses, and wear them out as the game goes on. Could they be the next thunder and lighting duo?

Carnell “Cadillac” Williams RB TAMPA – He is currently the starter in Tampa according to several websites, and this comes a bit of shock to me. It’s not that he isn’t talented, but that the Bucs went off and signed Derrick Ward in the offseason, and like me people I projected him to be the starter with Earnest Graham backing up. I was a big fan of Mr. Williams coming out of Auburn so I hope that this is his breakout year.

Mike Bell RB NO - Given the current injury status of Pierre Thomas, and Reggie Bush look for Bell to get a lot of carriers against Detroit. So far in the preseason he has look pretty good. I see Bush being the starter this week, but I think Bell will get significant amount of carriers.

Lee Evans WR BUF – This is a player that has always interested me. At times he can be a beast then other times he doesn’t do anything. Personally I think that is more of a reflection on the offense then on Evans. The real question will be how T.O. will effect Evans production. My bet is he will actually trend upward due to being opposite a player many defense will have a tendency to cheat a safety towards.

New York Giants WR Group – Who will step up to be Eli’s main go to guy? Steve Smith and Domenick Hixon are listed as the starters with Sinorice Moss, Hakeem Nicks, and Mario Manningham backing them up. I’m putting my money on Steve Smith. This is more of a gut feeling then anything. In fact while writing this blog I jumped over to my league and added him to my team.

- Texas Scout

Cadillac Could Start?

2009-09-08T23:02:00.000-07:00

Tampa Bay Buccaneers running back, Carnell "Cadillac" Williams apparently has been listed as the #1 running back on the Buccaneers' initial regular season depth chart.

This says a lot for someone who rushed the ball only 8 times for 54 yards in his only preseason game.

"I really feel like I'm better than ever," Williams said Thursday at Raymond James Stadium, after the Buccaneers' 10-6 preseason loss to the Miami Dolphins, his only game. "Physically I have no ailments and mentally, at this point, I'm stronger than ever. My knees are something I'm not worried about."

Williams has been disregarded in most fantasy drafts in favor of Derrick Ward (listed at No.2) and Earnest Graham (listed at No. 3). And while the three will make for the dreaded running-back-by-committee, the Cadillac can be purchased for the price of a an end-of-the-draft-clunker.

Sin City Scout

Sell High: Vikings Receivers

2009-09-05T07:03:00.000-07:00

The signing of Brett Farve has set the fantasy world all a buzz. Too much so.

Bernanrd Berrian and Percy Harvin (Sidney Rice to a lesser degree) have risen in everyone's ranks. This is to be expected when a team gets a good QB. However, the reality of the matter is that Minnesota is still a run first team. The reality is that Farve is not young - he's good, but not what he used to be. The rise in rankings for the Vikings receivers has gone way overboard.

Hence my advice. If people are viewing these WRs as much more then what they will be, take advantage of it! I have heard/seen multiple deals all aimed at getting Vikings receivers - yes, teams are packaging players (good ones) to get Berrian or Harvin. Now I'm not saying that the receivers are not worth owning, in fact, they should be solid (I think Harvin will emerge as the best of the group). But if you can trade for better talent, do it! Take advantage of this hysteria before people's expectations come back down to earth.

- Scout Monkey

Draft Risers & Fallers

2009-08-30T17:42:00.000-07:00

Moving Up

Chris Henry - The once troubled receiver is having a great training camp and preseason and back on the fantasy radar. With a healthy Carson Palmer, the Bengals pass game could finish among the top five and Henry could finish as the #2 statistically in front of Laveranues Coles at a much cheaper draft price.

Ray Rice - He continues to start at running back, but he will split carries with Willis McGahee. He has the talent to be a stud and can catch passes too.

Rashard Mendenhall -He will likely be the goal line back in Pittsburgh and the Steelers are adamant about getting him the ball and at least creating a two-back attack.

Bernard Scott - He is about to pass Benson in the rankings if he continues to play well. He could be the starter by seasons end.

Carnell Williams - The former #1 pick looked good in his preseason debut, but he has a lot of competition with Derrick Ward and Earnest Graham.

Earl Bennet - The young, upcoming WR could be the #1 man in Chicago. He played college ball with Cutler.

Sam Hurd - The injury to Williams put Hurd on the radar. He has been very good in camp and has surpassed Miles Austin at this point.

Moving Down

Marion Barber - There is not a reason other than the worry of Felix Jones and Tashard Choice eating into his time, but nevertheless his ADP is below his ranking. If you are picking between 20-25 and he is there, he is a bargain.

Jonathan Stewart - His achilles injury is a worry, especially for someone who missed almost all of his 2008 training camp and preseason. Stewart has a ton of talent and if healthy is better than Williams. He is out of the top 50, but could be a draft day bargain in the right spot.

Antonio Bryant - His injury, though not serious, combined with QB questions and a shaky history has Bryant falling below his value.

Ben Roethlisberger - His poor fantasy 2008 performance combined with more off season turmoil has his draft stock tumbling.

Draft Bargains

Chris Cooley - Simply because he caught only 1 TD in 2008 he has fallen far past his value. If you need a stud tight end at a cheap price wait until the 8th round or so and grab Cooley.

Kellen Winslow - Owners are staying away from Winslow after a horrible 2008 and his subsequent trade to the QB-troubled Bucs. Whoever the QB is, the tight end over the middle will do well and Winslow has overall #1 TE talent.

Correll Buckhalter - He is currently the starter in Denver with Knowshon Moreno injured and if Moreno is healthy, he should still see plenty of playing time. He has been going near the bottom of the drafts so grab him late, but grab him.

Chris Chambers - He is still the starter in San Diego with Phillip Rivers throwing to him. He has big-time talent, but has injury issues has scared away owners. Nevertheless he can have some big games and he is falling far in the draft.

Sin City Scout

Impact of Favre Acquisition

2009-08-19T16:14:00.000-07:00

Last season, Brett Favre stayed retired the entire summer before announcing his return to the NFL.

This year, it took just three weeks for Brett Favre to reemerge after he attributed his second retirement to his inability to stay healthy for an entire season.

Nonetheless, Favre agreed to the terms of a two year deal worth an approximate $25 million dollars with Minnesota on Tuesday.

With the acquisition of Favre, the Vikings are now the early favorites to win the NFC North.

His impact will have an effect not only the entire passing game, but the running game as well.

- In '08, the Vikings didn't have a single receiver eclipse 1,000 yards receiving. Bernard Berrian will be utilized as more than just a deep ball threat with Favre under center. Berrian will be seen in mid-range slant or curl patterns, resulting in more yardage and touchdowns for him in '09. Expect him to improve significantly on his 964 yard, 7 TD campaign last year.

- 21 receptions for 125 yards isn't impressive for a full-time back like Adrian Peterson, but he will also be the beneficiary of a veteran quarterback. Childress has expressed interest in incorporating Peterson more in the passing game, and Favre is the perfect candidate to help Peterson be a double threat. And with a more volatile passing game, Peterson will see less attention from linebackers - so he should see more rushing yards.

-Percy Harvin and Visanthe Shiancoe, both of whom have been rarely mentioned in fantasy football before the Favre acquisition, could make for potential sleeper picks. Favre instantly developed a rapport with tight end Dustin Keller and Jerricho Cotchery last season, so don't rule out these two guys as Favre's potential favorite targets.

2009 Dynasty Rookie Rankings: The Long Shots (21-30)

2009-08-16T22:12:00.000-07:00

When entering the final rounds of your rookie-only drafts, here are some players who you should be willing to take a chance on:

21. Austin Collie, WR, Indianapolis Colts - Collie may split the #3 WR role in Indy this season with Pierre Garcon, but he should be ready to take the role on next year, with a possibility of become a starter in the future. Collie is about as sure handed as they come, and Peyton loves to have guys that won't drop his perfect passes.

22. Deon Butler, WR, Seattle Seahawks - Like Collie, Butler is another rookie who could claim the #3 WR spot on his team this season. Butler has impressed his coaches in Seattle during training camp, and with Deion Branch possibly spending his last year in Seattle in 2009, Butler could be competing for a starting role in 2010 if he continues to impress.

23. Glen Coffee, RB, San Fransisco 49ers - Coffee could be the "Thunder" to Frank Gore's "Lightning".....if he can earn the right to split carries. In this scenario, Coffee could also become the goal line back, making him worth a top 30 rookie pick.

24. Mike Goodson, RB, Carolina Panthers - DeAngelo Williams had a career year once Jonathan Stewart joined the fold last year. This makes you wonder if the Panthers could plug-in another speed back in Williams' place. Enter the incredibly speedy Goodson, who could get an opportunity in the future to take on the DeAngelo Williams role if Williams' gets injured or wants more money.

25. Javon Ringer, RB, Tennessee Titans - Like Goodson above, Ringer would take over for Chris Johnson in case of injury. Even though he slipped in the draft, Ringer did nothing but perform beautifully in college, and could surprise if given an opportunity to start in Tennessee's run-heavy scheme.

26. Mike Thomas, WR, Jacksonville Jaguars - With very limited options at WR, Thomas could have an opportunity to start, especially with only oft-injured Mike Walker standing in the way.

27. Chase Coffman, TE, Cincinnati Bengals - While Brandon Pettigrew is the most balanced TE in the draft, the last time I checked you don't get fantasy points for blocking. Definitely more of a receiving TE, Chase has the speed and hands needed to stretch NFL defenses and make the big catch. Coffman has a great shot at contributing immediately after key injuries to two Bengal TEs during the offseason, and could become a beneficiary of Carson Palmer's return from elbow issues.

28. Gartrell Johnson, RB, San Diego Chargers - Could he be LT's replacement? He is versatile RB with upside who is worth a shot with a late round pick.

29. Derrick Williams, WR, Detroit Lions - With franchise QB Matt Stafford and stud WR Calvin Johnson in Detroit, Williams could see nothing but single coverage on the other side of Megatron if he eventually takes the #2 receiver spot. He also has a chance to contribute early as the #3 WR if he can win the job.

30. Ramses Barden, WR, New York Giants- Barden is a huge 6'6 WR from Cal Poly and is extremely raw, but geez.....he's HUGE!!!. Barden has the physical tools to succeed like no one else....the only question if he can learn the system and perform as well against a higher level of competition.

and a few others....

Johnny Knox, WR, Chicago Bears - Juaquin Iglesias may have been the first receiver taken by the Bears in draft this year, but undersized WR Johnny Knox has impressed the Chicago coaching staff this offseason, and could develop into a good #2 if given the opportunity with Jay Cutler at the helm.

Brandon Tate, WR, New England Patriots - Tate may not play much this season due to a knee injury suffered last college football season, but he has starter potential once he returns. Oh...and that Brady guy would be throwing him the ball, too.

Brandon Pettigrew, TE, Detroit Lions - He's huge, he should start right away, and he could be a red zone freak in Detroit. He won't be explosive, but he could be a very solid mid #1 fantasy tight end very soon. Now, if only the Lions could get in the red zone more often....

-Scout Widget

New Year, Same Story

2009-08-09T17:39:00.000-07:00

The Tennessee Titans had a good thing going last year - Chris Johnson runs them down the field, and then LenDale While finishes it off.

If the first preseason game tells us anything, the Titans are going to stick to that winning formula, as they should.

Interestingly, this makes both backs a little closer in value then many would think. To be clear, Johnson is still the back that should be taken first, but LenDale's TD opportunities makes him very valuable. One other thing of note, LenDale has lost some weight. He is still powerful, but a little more maneuverable and quick. Titan's are loaded!

This is a team with a good, if not great, line and likes to run. Both RBs have high fantasy value. Just about anywhere you look, White is rated significantly lower then Johnson. I think maybe a little too low. This is the only committee that I back. Take White, even if you have to reach a little. If White does what he did last year, you will be happy, if he does more (which is very possible), you got a steal.

- Scout Monkey

Lynch Suspension Upheld

2009-08-07T09:16:00.000-07:00

Bills running back Marshawn Lynch was served a three game suspension this March for violating the NFL's personal conduct policy.

Like most star players, Lynch appealed the suspension, hoping to get his sentenced reduced to just one game. However, the NFL announced on Monday that they were upholding Lynch's suspension, making him ineligible for play until week 4 against the Miami Dolphins.

How much does a three game absence hurt Lynch's value?

Last season, Lynch was a borderline first round draft pick. This year - he is getting taken towards the end of the third round.

But, Marshawn Lynch might as well be worth a late second round pick this year because you know what he is going to give you; take a look.

Marshawn Lynch thrives as a running back in Buffalo. Once the weather takes a turn for the worse, Lynch improves significantly.

In September and October of last season, Lynch only managed 3.66 yards per carry. In November and December, he had 4.61 yards per carry.

But despite the fact that Lynch is a great second-half player, he is still missing a quarter of the regular fantasy season.

However, Fred Jackson, who has averages 4.6 yards per carry in his short career, will serve as Lynch's undisputed replacement for the first three games. Dominic Rhodes is supposed to help out; but expect Jackson to make Rhodes a non-factor. In week 17, Fred Jackson ran for 136 yards against the New England Patriots; he could even fight for Lynch's job when he returns.

Once Lynch returns, he will return to the starting line up and once again be a dominant fantasy force. In two seasons, he has ran for at least 1,000 yards and scored at least 7 times. While those numbers aren't likely to be replicated, we still rank him higher than his average draft position.

Fred Jackson can be acquired in the final rounds of the draft where you might be getting your back-up defense, or your first string kicker. Spend a late pick on Jackson, and you have a player who will serve as a starting running back for the first three weeks of the season.

And come week 4, that late fourth round pick you spent on Marshawn Lynch suddenly turned into a high end No. 2 running back for the remainder of the year.

In games against the Patriots, Buccaneers and Saints, the Bills will need extra input from Lee Evans and Terrell Owens in the passing game, increasing their respective values.

Even if you don't secure Lynch, Jackson is a good running back to secure until more guys open up on waivers.

2009 Dynasty Rookie Rankings: The Hopeful (11-20)

2009-08-06T22:18:00.001-07:00

Continuing in our 2009 Dynasty Rookie Rankings, the middle round picks are players with potential that may develop into full time fantasy starters (we hope):

11. Matt Stafford, QB, Detroit Lions - The guy will be throwing to Megatron for years to come. Stafford has a big game arm, even if he does make questionable decisions at times. The Lions have nowhere to go but up, and with underrated RB Kevin Smith helping take pressure off, Stafford could put together a pretty nice career in Detroit.

12. James Davis, RB, Cleveland Browns - Even after a sub-par final season with Clemson, everyone knew James Davis had NFL caliber talent. Now that training camp is in session, the Browns may have found out they stole Davis in the sixth round of this year's draft. Davis has been wowing coaches so far and looks to have a future in Cleveland by all early reports. Davis has a real chance to become the feature guy in Cleveland, maybe even pushing Jamal Lewis for the starting job as soon as mid-season.

13. Kenny Britt, WR, Tennessee Titans - The only reason he is this far down the list is the team he plays for. The Titans don't throw much, but needed a big threat when they do, which is why they drafted Britt late in the first round. It may take a few years, but the 6-3 Britt could easily become the Titans #1 WR.....the only question is will he have the chance to truly show is insane leaping ability if the Titans are still running 40 times a game?

14. Mohammed Massaquoi, WR, Cleveland Browns - Mohammed was supposed to be the "developmental" project compared to fellow Browns rookie WR Brian Robiskie, but apparently Mohammed didn't get the memo. Massaquoi has surprised everyone by overtaking Robiskie on the depth chart, which is a big deal since "The Coach's Son" (he is the son of Terry Robiskie, long time NFL WR Coach) was supposed to be the guy most polished and ready for the NFL. If Massaquoi is actually putting some consistency to his big play ability...look out...he will stay at the top of the depth chart and be a welcome addition to your fantasy team. Stay tuned to this training camp battle.....

15. Brian Robiskie, WR, Cleveland - I'm not sure if Robiskie is slipping in the eyes of coaches, or if Massaquoi is that good, but Robiskie is the #3 WR in Cleveland. Regardless, Brian has great mechanics, good hands, and runs the route tree well, and could still get a chance to start in 2010 regardless if Braylon Edwards leaves town.

16. Darius Heyward-Bey, WR, Oakland Raiders - How can you be drafted as the first WR in the NFL Draft if you aren't even first team in your college conference? While Crazy Al may have left us scratching our heads again after this pick, Bey does have elite speed and could be a solid WR in this legue. He will definitely need some time to develop (hands, route running, etc.), so patience will be needed if you add him to your roster.

17. Rashard Jennings, RB, Jacksonville - How did this guy last until round 7? Yes, he played ball at Liberty, but only transferred there from Pittsburgh after moving home to help take care of his father. Jennings is a big boy, but he has the quickness to be an effective NFL back. Watch out....he will surprise and could form a "Thunder and Lightning" type duo with teammate Marice Jones-Drew.

18. Andre Brown, RB, New York Giants - The Giants drafted Brown when he fell to them in the fourth round, knowing his skill set demanded a higher pick. At 6-0, 224 pounds and 4.49 speed, Brown could challenge Ahmad Bradshaw for Derrick Ward's old role as soon as this year. In reality, we will probably have to wait until Brown has a year under his belt before we can really see if he can effectively use his skills at the next level.

19. Juaquin Iglesias, WR, Chicago Bears - This guy can catch. A reliable target at Oklahoma, Iglesias does not stick out because of his excellent size (even though he is big enough to be a good possession receiver) or blazing speed, but because they guy can pluck the ball out of the air like no body's business. May take a couple years to develop, but this kid could turn into Cutler's favorite targets in the future if he becomes just as reliable at the next level.

20. Bernard Scott, RB, Cincinnati Bengals - The Bengals took a late round flyer on the RB from Abilene Christian (where he accumulated an incredible 5,712 yards from scrimmage and 73 touchdowns in 2007 and 2008), but this troubled back (quite a few arrests while in college) has NFL ability, though his decision making so far in life has only been of Pee-Wee ability. With Cedrick Benson only signing a 2 year deal in the off season, the Bengals didn't over commit to him and should give Scott all the chances in the world to get on the field and prove what this diminutive RB is made of. A true boom or bust pick.

-Scout Widget

Top Sleeper Pick: Kevin Smith

2009-08-06T13:47:00.000-07:00

2008 was a unique season where late-round rookies (Forte, Slaton) emerged as elite running backs, whereas the top ranked rookies (McFadden) faltered.

For their efforts, four sophomore running backs are within the top-15 among their position: Matt Forte (2nd), Chris Johnson (6th), Steve Slaton (8th), Kevin Smith (15th).

But despite his low ranking, Kevin Smith has the most potential to exceed his expectations and be a top-ten running back.

Of those four, Kevin Smith was the only player to fall short of 1,000 yards rushing in '08. However, in the last eight games of the season, Smith was close in production to all of them.

Over the last eight games, Smith rushed for 671 yards and 4 TD's (Forte for 597 yds, 6 TD's; Johnson for 679 yds, 6 TD's).

Smith was limited in the season's first eight games as he battled several players for the starting position before finally locking it down in week 9.

Unlike the other three, Smith is not an elite receiver for a running back, with only 39 receptions for 286 yards.

But Smith played on the league's worst team last season, and still managed to post a very good rookie year.

With the departure of Rudi Johnson, Kevin Smith's lone competition for the job is Maurice Morris. Smith should easily secure his starting position, and if healthy, should have no problem rushing the ball more than 300 times in '09.

Granted, the Lions ranked 30th in rushing last season (just ahead of the Colts and Cardinals), but Smith has a good opportunity to not only eclipse 1,000 yards rushing, but to also exceed 1,500 yards.

His 4.1 yards per carry should increase moderately - a result of a strengthend offensive line. This offseason, the Lions added ex-Redskins center Jon Jansen, who was the cornerstone of Washington's rushing protection.

First-round draft pick Brandon Pettigrew will be utilized as a blocking tight end, giving Kevin Smith an opening to the outside lane.

Unfortunately for Smith, he is the best offensive weapon on their team, and might see extra attention on defense because of it.

But the Lions did add Bryant Johnson to compliment Calvin 'Megatron' Johnson in the receiving core. And it looks like Daunte Culpepper will end up being the week 1 starter as Stafford is left to watch and mature. The Lions deeper set of receivers won't be enough to make them a legitimate threat, but they will be enough to keep some defensive attention of Smith.

Kevin Smith guaranteed the Lions would make the playoffs earlier this offseason on his blog, and fell victim to criticism and laughter. We're not quite ready to jump on Smith's promise quite yet, but he might guarantee a spot in your fantasy playoffs.

He can be acquired in the fourth round, and could get you first round productivity. Even if he doesn't maximize his potential in 2009, he still has a huge chance of being a top-ten RB.

Why going WR-WR is beneficial

2009-08-06T11:22:00.000-07:00

In 2007, there was a simple draft strategy: always go RB-RB. Most running backs taken in the first two rounds were good for around 20 carries a game, which in many cases led to 1,000+ yards and double-digit touchdowns.

The 2007 draft strategy was a good representation of the 2006 and 2005 seasons - there was more emphasis on defense and running.

But the 2007 and 2008 seasons brought a new breed of football that featured faster game play and more of an aerial-based offense.

During those two seasons, there have been 1366 passing touchdowns, and 862 rushing touchdowns.

Compare that to the 2005 and 2006 total of 1240 passing and 855 rushing, it becomes clear that while the rushing total has stayed the same, passing TD's have increased rather significantly.

Although the amount of rushing touchdowns hasn't seen much change, the style of running has. Take the 2008 Carolina Panthers. DeAngelo Williams led the league in rushing TDs with 18. But Jonathan Stewart was there to post 10 rushing TDs on top of 833 yards, despite battling injuries throughout the year.

Chris Johnson of the Titans rushed for 1,228 yards and recorded 9 TD's - very respectable numbers for a rookie. But the presence of Lendale White prevented Johnson from being perhaps the league's best RB, as he siphoned off 15 TD's and 773 yards.

The amount of rushing TD's over the last two years has slightly increased, but the two-RB system installed on many teams has hurt the value of non-elite running backs.

With that said, running backs are still going to compile more yardage; elite running backs are going to outscore WRs; and there should not be a WR taken in the early first round.

If you have a top-6 draft pick, your first round draft strategy should be to grab a top tier running back and pray for his safety.

But anywhere after that in the first round, you are no longer drafting a running back from an elite set of players, but what is left is the top WRs and QBs.

If you are drafting 8th, 9th or 10th in your draft, rule out the RB-RB strategy.

A common draft strategy in 2008 was taking Brady and Manning in the first two rounds of the draft in hopes that they would throw for 40+ TDs for a second time in each of their respective careers.

Instead, Drew Brees emerged as the top fantasy QB in 2008 as he nearly broke the record for most passing yards in a season. Despite Brees' heroics, he outscored Aaron Rodgers by just 1 fantasy points last year!

That rules out the any sort of QB combination when drafting late in the first round and early in the second round. The difference in production from the top quarterback and the fifth ranked quarterback is not going to be big enough for you to waste a top draft pick on. Instead of grabbing Brees in the first two rounds, you can sit on Aaron Rodgers or Kurt Warner until the fourth or fifth round, and get similar numbers from it.

With no QB, you are left between a combination of wide receivers and running backs. And drafting at the end of the first round guarantees you can secure Larry Fitzgerald, Andre Johnson, Calvin Johnson or Randy Moss in a WR-WR strategy.

Why should you avoid taking a running back in one of these slots?

Look at some of the league's top ranked running backs this season. Chris Johnson and Steve Slaton weren't taken until the final rounds of last season's draft. Matt Forte was taken on average in the eight round, and DeAngelo Williams: the tenth.

While the 2009 season hopes to be a little bit more predictable, you have a greater chance of securing a starting RB late in the draft, or even on waivers, than you do with a WR.

Surely you will get criticized for taking two WRs in the first two rounds. But although the choice is unconventional, it is the best draft strategy if you are drafting 7th-10th overall.

2009 Dynasty Rookie Rankings: The Top Ten

2009-08-04T15:26:00.001-07:00

There are three types of fantasy football players: those who like fantasy football, those who LOVE fantasy football, and those (like myself) who join Dynasty leagues. With these types of fantasy football leagues increasing in number, it seems appropriate to focus on what Dynasty team owners will have to decide: What rookie to take in their Rookie Draft.

This ranking is for standard scoring leagues, with QBs receiving four points for a passing TD. Also, this ranking focuses on the long term value of these rookies, so take that into account when comparing these rankings with your league's rules configuration:

1. Chris "Beanie" Wells, RB, Arizona Cardinals - Yes, there are injury issues, but Wells is in an awesome position to succeed now, as well as years to come. Tim Hightower averaged less than 3 yards per carry down the stretch for the Cards last year, and the Cards management understand that the rushing attack needs to improve if they want to challenge again for the Lombardi trophy. Enter Wells, who at 6'1 and 237 pounds (by one website's measurement) will have plenty of opportunity to usurp the starting role from Hightower and begin his career of smashing defenders to tiny bits. Combine that with reports of a sub 4.4 40 at his Pro Day......and Beanie could well be worth the "hill of beans" you bet on him by taking him with your #1 rookie pick.

2. Knowshon Moreno, RB, Denver Broncos - He isn't track fast or lightning quick, but Moreno has game speed and game-breaking ability that is hardly matched by any of the other rookies in this class. Picked 12th overall by the Broncos, he will most certainly get his shot soon to show fantasy owners what he can do on the field.

3. Michael Crabtree, WR, San Fransisco 49ers - He may be shorter than previously advertised, but this guy flat out makes plays. Crab may need a year under his belt before he makes a true impact, but his upside for the future is undoubtedly high.

4. Donald Brown, RB, Indianapolis Colts - Another back with a shot at prime playing time during year 1. Brown could split carries, or better, with Joe Addai in the Colts offense this year. Brown is a smart, hard working, all-purpose back who will not doubt fantasy owners during his career. He may be one of the safer picks.

5. LeSean McCoy, RB, Philadelphia Eagles - The Brian Westbrook clone is making Eagles' coaches and fans droll with excitement over their new offensive weapon. Westbrook's injury history may open the door for McCoy to star a few games this season, but make no mistake, this guy will be the Eagles' new workhorse when Westbrook is no longer able to carry the load.

6. Shonn Greene, RB, NY Jets - Bruiser. Rex Ryan has already bragged about Greene being the "closer" at the end of games to finish off opposing defenses, but with Thomas Jones getting ready to become a free agent at the end of this season, Greene could be ready to become the starter and goal line back in 2010. If Jones does leave in 2010, as speculated, Greene will at worst split carries with Leon Washington and get goal line duties. At best, Greene could be the pounder that fantasy owners love, getting double digit TDs for years to come.

7. Jeremy Maclin, WR, Eagles - Maclin will need to learn to master the route tree before becoming a starting NFL wideout, but the skill set and upside are there. The "third-year WR" theory will need to be considered when taking Maclin, but he has the speed and play-making ability to become a solid player at the pro level.

8. Hakeem Nicks, WR, NY Giants - Did you see that catch he made? (If you don't know what I'm talking about, look up some game footage of this guy.....) Nicks is one of the more NFL-ready rookie receivers in the draft. Greats hands, crisp route-running, and game-breaking ability could push Nicks into the Giants starting lineup as soon as Week 1, but you should still be patient with him in general. That being said, he should be a solid NFL pro during his career.

9. Percy Harvin, WR, Minnesota Vikings - Harvin is a RB/WR tweener who will get plenty of looks in his rookie year with the Vikes. Harvin is a threat to score from anywhere on the field, and will have plenty of room to run with Adrian Peterson getting most of the attention. However, his bad boy reputation does knock him down a notch or two in the eyes of some critics. While special team assignments may limit his on field time with standard offensive sets the first year or two, he could be a solid fantasy contributor if he learns the system and remains open to coaching.

10. Mark Sanchez, QB, NY Jets - Why is Sanchez here instead of Stafford? It. Sanchez has it. I don't exactly know what it is, but all the great QBs have....well.....it. In a few years, Sanchez will develop into a solid NFL QB.....his ability to be a top fantasy QB, however, will depend a bit on his surroundings. Either way, he is worth picking as a top ten rookie.

- Scout Widget

Late Round Breakdown: NFC East

2009-07-25T12:04:00.000-07:00

New York Giants

Ahmad Bradshaw. It's hard to be so high on a running back who only had 67 carries for 355 yards last season, but the departure of Derrick Ward gives Bradshaw the potential to be a fantasy starter. 2008 proved that Brandon Jacobs wasn't equipped to handle a full load - and Derrick Ward was a huge beneficiary: with 181 carries. Now, it is Bradshaw's job to fill the role as the No. 2 back in New York, which should give him close to 1,000 yards. Jacobs will get mostly all of the red zone carries, but Bradshaw should be seeing double-digit carries nearly every game. He does have a little bit of competition for the back up role, but if a brittle Brandon Jacobs goes down with injury, Bradshaw instantly becomes a top end starter. And even when Jacobs is healthy, Bradshaw makes for a nice sleeper.

Domenik Hixon. After Plaxico Burress' gun incident, Domenik Hixon went on to lead all Giants receivers with 596 yards. He isn't a red zone scorer, but Hixon should be the No. 1 option for Eli Manning - and he'll lead the Giants in receiving yards in 2009. Steve Smith and Hakeem Nicks will steal some open field looks, but Hixon will have to be the red zone receiver, as Burress was cut from the Giants this spring. For now, Hixon is the only guaranteed starter for the New York receiver core. Don't count on him being as reliable as Plaxico, but Hixon will be the top choice for Manning all over the field. He has big play ability and doesn't carry much risk in drafting him - especially considering how late you can steal him off the board.

Philadelphia Eagles

LeSean McCoy. McCoy slid to the Eagles at the end of the second round of the '09 draft, despite being projected to get selected much earlier. Luckily for McCoy, he is already the back up to a very injury prone Westbrook. As a replacement for Correll Buckhalter, McCoy will be very effective as a slashing running back and pass catcher out of the backfield. And, Westbrook will miss all of the preseason, as he is coming off an offseason surgery. Chances are Westbrook will be the week 1 starter, but he'll surely be limited, and he still stands a great chance of getting injured. Like Buckhalter in '08, McCoy stands to have a couple productive fantasy games - it will all depend on Westbrook's health.

Jeremy Maclin. The Eagles don't have a true No. 1 receiver on their depth chart, but to compensate for it, they have 11 WR's on their roster - six of which could see a solid amount of playing time. Jason Avant, Hank Baskett, Reggie Brown, Kevin Curtis, DeSean Jackson and Jeremy Maclin, among others. So while it is clear that Maclin is one of the best young receivers in the league already, Andy Reid might not rush him to be an instant fantasy producer on the offense. He is a quick receiver with exceptional hands, and his durable body should gear him towards a long, successful career. Maclin will have to adapt to the Eagles offense and outplay Kevin Curtis and DeSean Jackson to earn a starting role. We don't think you should buy too much into Maclin as a rookie, but when he matures, he should be a Pro-Bowl wide out.

Dallas Cowboys

Felix Jones. Felix Jones was phenomenal during his short rookie year: averaging 8.9 ypc and scoring 3 rushing TD's on just 30 carries. 2008 proved that Marion Barber can't be the exclusive running back the Cowboys had hoped he would be. Felix Jones and Tashard Choice should both share the role of starter and primary running backs in the Dallas offense in '09, similar to Julius Jones' role in previous years. Barber will fall back to the third-down, goal-line and late-game running back. Felix Jones has the elusiveness to be a fantasy relevant running back, as long as he can stay healthy. Choice doesn't have either a power running game or top end speed, so Jones will be in the second spot of the Cowboys' depth chart come week 1. He won't have the TD's to make him a fantasy stud, but his big play ability should give him a couple, while allowing him to rack up the yards. Jones isn't quite a fantasy starter, but he is worth drafting as a back-up with enormous potential.

Roy E. Williams. 2008 was an absolute disaster while playing with the Lions; it was even worse after coming over to the Cowboys early in the year. But with the departure of T.O, Williams is the only fantasy receiver in the Dallas offense. He isn't as talented as Owens, but he is 6'4" with good hands, and he can make plays over the middle, while also having home run ability. He was incredibly useful as a No. 1 receiver in Detroit, before Calvin Johnson arrived. In 2009, he is once again the No. 1 receiver, but this time he will be catching passes from a top tier quarterback in Tony Romo. He's 27 years old, and his foot injury has subsided, so there is no reason he shouldn't have his best year to date in his first full season as a Cowboy. He isn't a No. 1 fantasy receiver, but he makes for a very good option as a No. 2

Washington Redskins

Jason Campbell. Campbell looked like he was headed towards fantasy stardom in '08, starting the first eight games with as many touchdowns, and 0 interceptions. As the Redskins declined, so did Campbell, as he threw just 5 TD's to 6 INT's in the second half of the year. He is a fairly decent rusher, and he will rack up a respectable amount of yd's, but his lack of TD production throughout his career hurts his value. He's the perfect quarterback to lead a team to an 8-8 record, but he doesn't have the skill to be a top end starter in the NFL, or much less fantasy. If his TD total increases in the West Coast offense in 2009, he might be a good back up. But our warning here: the Redskins don't trust Campbell to be their franchise quarterback, and you shouldn't trust him to be your primary back up.

Ladell Betts. Joe Gibbs wanted to use Betts in a timeshare running back offense with Clinton Portis. Jim Zorn wanted to emphasize his pass catching in a West Coast offense last season. He was a fantasy hero three seasons ago when Portis went down with a season long injury, but Betts can't seem to thrive in the backfield with Portis around. Sure, Ladell Betts would be a great fantasy option if Portis goes down with injury in '09. But in five seasons with Washington, Portis has played 15 or more games in all but one year. Betts' knee injury last season makes him a risk as something as insignificant as a 'back up' role. We don't mean to preach negativity about the entire Washington offense, but there isn't a whole lot of upside to begin with. Portis is a fantastic running back, Cooley is a solid tight end, and Santana Moss might be a starter in '09. Other than that, don't get fancy with the Redskins 'sleepers'.

Late Round Breakdown: NFC North

2009-07-23T19:31:00.000-07:00

Chicago Bears

Greg Olsen. Young tight end Greg Olsen makes for a top tight end option once Gates, Witten and Gonzalez are all taken from the board. In 2008, Olsen finally surpassed Desmond Clark as the No. 1 tight end in Chicago by posting more yards and touchdowns than Clark. Olsen will continue to emerge as a fantasy threat, while Clark takes steps towards retirement. And Jay Cutler should increase Olsen's value significantly - Cutler loved checking down to Tony Scheffler in Denver. Although Chicago is clearly a run first team, Olsen proved to be effective in the red zone last season, and his ability to get open and make plays in the field make him a strong choice for any fantasy team. But with Cutler, the Bears promise to throw more, which should help Olsen rise up into the top tier of fantasy tight ends. He's undoubtedly a fantasy starter, and you don't have to waste an early pick to grab him.

Devin Hester. We didn't buy in on him last year when he was supposed to be a fantasy threat since he became a starting wide receiver, and he shouldn't be overrated again this year. Hester struggled to catch passes from Kyle Orton in 2008 (665 yds, 3 TD's) - but Jay Cutler hopes to correct the issue and put Hester into a group of respected fantasy receivers. Sadly, Hester is the top receiver in Chicago; so while that means he will be running a ton of streak routes and hopefully catch some deep balls, he will work to develop hands and work on catching passes over the middle. His top notch speed gives us the impression that one day, he may mature into a top receiving option. But for now, Hester isn't quite yet a fantasy starter. Don't expect anything too spectacular from Hester in '09, but with that said, he is still a 'sleeper' pick that may be worth drafting.

Earl Bennett. Both Brandon Marshall and Eddie Royal were relevant fantasy receivers when Jay Cutler was throwing to them in Chicago; why can't Devin Hester and Earl Bennet be as well? Cutler worked great with buddy Earl Bennett back in Vanderbilt - and Chicago hopes to reunite the unit as a serious threat in 2009. Unlike Hester, Bennett has decent hands for a wide receiver, and he can make plays over the middle - which actually makes him the 'safer' pick of the two Chicago receivers. Third round draft pick Juaquin Iglesias will be around to steal some catches out of the slot, but the Bears' running minded offense should keep them limited to just two receivers. Optimistically, Bennett could be as useful in 2009 as Eddie Royal was in 2008. But Bennett will be fighting Matt Forte for both carries and backfield receptions, and Greg Olsen in the red zone. Bennett may be worth drafting in deeper leagues, but it's just best to keep an eye on him in preseason.

Detroit Lions

Brandon Pettigrew. Behind Calvin Johnson, Brandon Pettigrew hopes to serve as an 0-16 team's second receiving option. But unlike most relevant fantasy tight ends, Pettigrew has above average blocking skills, which figure to make Kevin Smith more effective than Pettigrew himself. We still don't know if Culpepper or Stafford will be the Lions' starter come week 1, but Pettigrew short receiving type would make him a decent check down for a young quarterback. He can't make plays downfield, so his potential is certainly limited in his rookie year. However, Pettigrew is the only tight end on the roster that has any kind of play-making ability, so we think it will be enough for him to find the end zone a few times. He isn't a fantasy starter yet, but he could be a force to be reckoned with in future seasons.

Kevin Smith. In a situation where most running backs would struggle, Kevin Smith was a fantasy starter in 2008 by posting 976 yards in 8 TD's - as a rookie, and on the league's worst team. He never scored through the air, but his 286 receiving yards in his rookie season show that he is an all-around player that can score in any situation. With extreme uncertainties at quarterback, Smith expects to serve as one of the primary scorers in the Lions' offense. The new offense in Detroit should compliment Smith's slashing running style nicely too. He'll have Maurice Morris to steal his third-down carries, but regardless, Smith is a fantasy starter again in 2009, and he is a lock for 1,000 yards rushing.

Bryant Johnson. 2008 was supposed to be a breakout year for Bryant Johnson as he moved from a No. 3 option in Arizona to a No. 1 in San Francisco. But his inadequate speed and inability to get open caused Johnson to post several '0's on the fantasy scoreboard, making him a huge bust. In Detroit, Bryant Johnson will battle for the No. 2 receiving slot with Ronald Curry, where Johnson figures to earn the job. Will he be enough to fill the shoes of Roy Williams? Probably not. But it's possible that defenses will be too keyed in on Calvin Johnson and Kevin Smith to pay any attention to Johnson. He'll be left in single coverage, but we don't know if he can even get open under those circumstances. Don't draft him, but Bryant Johnson is definitely a player to keep an eye on in the opening weeks of 2009.

Green Bay Packers

Aaron Rodgers. Amid all the hype of DeAngelo William's 'fluke' season and Turner's league-high 376 carries, it was actually Aaron Rodgers who finished second among all fantasy players in points (Drew Brees was first). And that was just in his first season. A huge part of Rodgers' success can be attributed to the Packers' inability to run the ball in the red zone, but his 4,038 yards in '08 show that Rodgers is already an elite quarterback. Rodgers' worst quality is his weakness at being effective late in the game. With Donald Driver aging towards retirement, Greg Jennings is the only true receiving option left in Green Bay. But much like a younger Tom Brady, Rodgers excelled in the passing game despite his lacking of passing options. You'd be crazy to take him before Brees, Brady or Manning - but if you wait two rounds for Rodgers, you could be looking at a top-3 quarterback in terms of production.

Mason Crosby. After leading the league in points among fantasy kickers in his rookie year of 2007, Crosby only hit 27/34 in his next year. But the Packers' West Coast offense allows for Crosby to kick field goals and extra points with frequency. Nobody has attempted more field goals in the last two seasons than Crosby. It's foolish to play too much into kicker's history, but his glory season of 2007 could be matched in 2009. Don't go out of the way to draft him before the last round, but he is definitely one of the top kicking options this year.

Minnesota Vikings

Bernard Berrian. If you're looking for a home-run hitter, Bernard Berrian is the guy for you. Berrian's main skill is running deep ball routes, so while that will result in several long scores for touchdown, there will be a handful of '0' reception games to counter it. With Sage Rosenfels looking to be the starter for Minnesota in 2009, Berrian should become somewhat more useful as a fantasy wide out. Tavaris Jackons lacked accurate deep arm strength, and although Sage Rosenfels isn't a star either, he is a significant upgrade. He has yet to post an 1,000 yard season in his career, and while he isn't a guarantee to do it in 2009, it doesn't mean he isn't worth drafting to your fantasy team. He could actually be considered a fantasy starter, so long as you have consistency throughout the rest of the starting lineup.

Vikings D/ST. The Vikings defense was rated so highly in 2008, that people chose to waste an earlier drafted pick on what was supposed to be the best fantasy defense. Although they maintained a reputation for having a stout run defense, the Vikings secondary faltered - resulting in few turnovers, and 20.8 ppg against. The unit as a whole is still worthy of drafting, and can still be considered a fantasy starter, but they are a good lesson - don't reach out and grab a defense before the last rounds. This year, they don't fall within the top-5 defenses, so while going after a defense a little early may seem wise - remember that they aren't very tactful as trade bait, either.

Late Round Breakdown: NFC South

2009-07-21T18:57:00.001-07:00

Carolina Panthers

Steve Smith. He missed the first two games of the 2008 season due to a suspension, but came on to be one of the top big-play receivers in the league. Smith recorded 1421 receiving yards in ’08, good for third in the league behind Andre Johnson and Larry Fitzgerald. His six TD’s wasn’t spectacular by any means, but for his current situation in Carolina – he’s extremely impressive. Only two other teams had a higher run-to-pass ratio than the Panthers did in ’08; his quarterback is mediocre at best; and as the only receiving threat on the team, he constantly faces double teams – and beats him. Smith isn’t a ‘sleeper pick’ by any means, but despite his situations, he is worthy of a second round pick as a No. 1 receiver.

Jonathan Stewart. Stewart had an injury-plagued rookie year, yet still reeled off 833 yards and 10 scores along the way. Playing on one of the most run-oriented teams in the league, Jonathan Stewart is a solid fantasy starter. He will be the second running back in the rotation to DeAngelo Williams. But between the two of them, they rushed for over 2,300 yards – and there will be plenty more of it to go around in 2009. Perhaps what is better about Stewart is that despite his toe injury, he had close to the same number of red zone carries as DeAngelo last year. It seems that in 2009, DeAngelo will shoulder the bulk of it, but Stewart will see tons of games with double-digit-carries, and he’ll probably get more of the red zone time. Carolina should have one of the best offensive lines in the league once again, making Stewart and Williams both top option starters in ’09.

Atlanta Falcons

Jerious Norwood. The running back ‘handcuff’ rule in fantasy has seemed to die off in recent years, but consider this: Jerious Norwood is one Michael Turner injury away from being a top-10 RB. That’s only to say if Turner goes down, but even then, Norwood has quite a bit of potential in 2009. Norwood surprisingly had 94 carries last season, and he had 6 total TD’s. With the Falcons ever so cautiously trying to prevent Turner from falling prey to the ‘Curse of 370’, Norwood will be a sure 100-touch running back in 2009. And his 5.8 ypc throughout his career gives him break-out ability that could make him a threat, regardless of Turner’s health. He’ll get more involved in the offense this season, and on a run-oriented team, he could do something special. Considering as late in the draft you can grab Norwood, and with the possibility of being an elite player, he is worth keeping an eye on in the final rounds.

Matt Ryan. If you missed out on Drew Brees and the other elite quarterbacks in the early rounds of the draft, Matt Ryan ranks right at the bottom of ‘viable fantasy quarterback starters’ in 2009. The acquisition of Tony Gonzalez emphasizes the Falcons’ transition towards a more balanced offense – and Ryan will get a chance to show off his cannon more because of it. With a dominant running game, and an exceptional receiving core in Atlanta, it looks like Matt Ryan will slowly progress toward the ranks of elite quarterbacks. Ryan will have a couple games where he throws 0 TD’s, and 2 INT’s – which should be expected as a young quarterback. Thus if you decide to pursue Ryan, grabbing a spot-starting quarterback (i.e. Matt Cassel) shortly thereafter would be a wise move.

New Orleans Saints

Pierre Thomas. He only carried the ball 129 times last year, but the departure of Deuce McAllister makes Pierre Thomas a possible No. 2 running back in fantasy. In the final six games, Thomas played last year, he ran for 75+ yards all but once – and he ran for 6 TD’s along the way. He’ll compete with Reggie Bush for carries, but Thomas is the clear consensus as the red zone back in New Orleans. Obviously Thomas will lose backfield receptions to Bush, but he fits the mold of the only true running back in New Orleans. He can be grabbed as late as the fourth or fifth round, and he could give you second round productivity for it. Playing on a pass-happy offense, Pierre Thomas does have a limit as to how good he can be – but he shouldn’t have a problem getting close to the 1,000 yard, 10 TD platoon in 2009.

Reggie Bush. This isn’t USC anymore; Reggie Bush is no longer the most effective player on his team. As a standard running back, Bush is mediocre. He does his best work as a slot receiver and third-down back, where he can utilize his speed every time he touches the ball. His knee issue that forced him out of six games in 2008, and a microfracture surgery this offseason certainly raises alarms about drafting Reggie Bush. He is a key cog to the Saints offense, but in terms of fantasy-production, Bush can’t do a whole lot. In PPR leagues, Bush’s value increases tremendously, but otherwise, Bush cannot be counted on as a legitimate fantasy option every week. He’s a good player and he surely could be a factor, but for where you’d have to draft him, we wouldn’t take such a gamble.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Derrick Ward. As a backup to Brandon Jacobs, Derrick Ward broke 1,000 yards rushing, averaging 5.6 ypc while doing so. Now part of a platoon-RB system in Tampa, Ward’s only competition is an injury-prone Earnest Graham. Ward clearly has more talent between the two, and his ability to stay healthy makes him the obvious favorite to win over the job. His lack of red zone production last season gives us the impression that Graham will score more in ’09, but Ward was given a huge contract this offseason – and Tampa Bay will utilize it as much as possible. Quarterback uncertainties in Tampa will help both the value of Ward and Graham, as pounding the ball on the ground will be the keystone of the Buccaneer offense in 2009. Either Ward or Graham, however, should win over the starting job and receive most of the carries. Given the health concerns of Earnest Graham, Derrick Ward should emerge as a fantasy starter in his first season in Tampa – and he can be taken fairly late in the draft.

Antonio Bryant. Sure 83 receptions for 1248 yards and 7 TD’s are typical numbers of an elite fantasy wide receiver, but Antonio Bryant’s inconsistency throughout his career provides doubts for 2009. And his behavioral issues could flare up again as a serious problem with a new coaching staff. What’s even worse: we don’t even know who his quarterback will be. Bryant is the top receiver in Tampa – rather the only receiver in Tampa, so defenses will be focused more on him this season. He is heading towards a contract year and could very well be a fantasy relevant player, but there’s too much risk in drafting an unpredictable player in Bryant. If he slips in the draft, don’t hesitate to grab him, but don’t even think about calling him your No. 2 receiver.

Late Round Breakdown: NFC West

2009-07-20T11:50:00.000-07:00

Arizona Cardinals

Chris Wells. Wells is a multi-dimensional back. He has the true size to make him a goal-line back, and the exceptional speed to make him explosive in the open field. Touchdown vulture Tim Hightower will still be in Arizona, but we think Wells' overwhelming talent limits Hightower to being just a third down back. The Cardinals were the worst running team in the league last season, but their postseason success shows they are geared towards a two-sided offense. He holds a huge health risk, but he's worth a late round swing - as he could easily become a solid fantasy starter.

Steve Breaston. Breaston is arguably the best No. 3 receiver in the league. He was part of the historic trio, all of whom eclipsed 1,000 yards receiving. Although it looks like Boldin will remain a Cardinal, Breaston has potential to emerge as a fantasy starter. Boldin has been a constant injury problem, and after a record-breaking postseason, defenses will surely be keying in on Larry Fitzgerald. For now, Breaston isn't a fantasy starter just yet, but he makes for a nice bye week filler. And if Boldin goes down again with an injury in 2009, Breaston instantly becomes a top-20 receiver.

San Francisco 49ers

Shaun Hill. A surprising beneficiary of a Mike Martz offense, Shaun Hill went 5-3 as the 49ers starter in 2008. Entering 2009, Hill has been named the starter, but will reportedly compete with Alex Smith for the starting position. In all likelihood, Shaun Hill earn the job in an offense that looks to focus more on the run in 2009. Mike Singletary's new offense will limit Hill from becoming a worthy fantasy starter, but he makes for one of the best back-up quarterbacks. He lacks arm strength and overall talent, but picking him up in the late rounds of the draft can be a wise investment.

Frank Gore. Gore isn't by any means a sleeper pick, or a late round pick either, but should perform higher than his projected value. He doesn't even rank as a first round pick in standard leagues, but could return to his 2006 form with new offensive coordinator Jimmy Raye. Gore is usually good for 1,000 yards and a handful of touchdowns; and he could have a career year in 2009. Rookie running back Glenn Coffee isn't quite NFL-ready, so Gore won't be losing any time to him - unless Gore gets hurt. But, he has a punishing running style that will make him effective on the goal-line, and a breakaway potential for him to tear off big runs. He's no A.P., but Gore is worth drafting late in the first round.

Michael Crabtree. The old fantasy rule dictates to stay away from any rookie player, period. Perhaps true with quarterbacks, but recent years have shown that rookie running backs and wide receivers are low-risk, high-reward players. Crabtree does have a foot injury that kept him out of the combine, but he is already the best receiver on a conservative offense. Crabtree is physically strong, and had the best hands in all of college football - plus he is a big-play threat. The 49ers new offense certainly won't help Crabtree, but he will break off a few long plays. And although he won't be an elite receiver in his first season, that doesn't mean he isn't worth drafting.

Seattle Seahawks.

Matt Hasselbeck. 2008 was an absolute nightmare for Hasselbeck and the Seahawks' offense. But, considering his projected value, Hasselbeck is one of the biggest quarterback bargains in the draft. Blame his lack of production last year on the wide receiving core's injuries, but Hasselback too missed seven games with a back problem. But just two years ago, he tossed 27-TD's. He won't be returning to his glory season where he led them to a Super Bowl run, but he has a great chance for throwing 20, and being a No. 2 quarterback option.

Julius Jones. What's good for Jones is that his main competition in Maurice Morris is now a Detroit Lion. But he has been a constant disappointment throughout his career, and his non-existent performance at the end of 2008 does not bode well for 2009. But with a run-oriented Jim Mora at head coach, Julius Jones could see his second career 1,000 yard season. He will get the starting job, and should see a load of carries for it. T.J. Duckett will be the goal-line back, but otherwise, there seems to be little competition to steal Jones' job. Jones actually could be a fantasy starter as the season progresses, and he won't even be drafted in some leagues.

St. Louis Rams

Donnie Avery. Besides Steven Jackson, Donnie Avery is the only other player that will be a week 1 fantasy starter. Avery did not disappoint as a rookie, as he was actually the most productive wide receiver on the Rams offense. With Torry Holt in Jacksonville, Avery looks to see even more action. He lacks the height of many elite receivers, but he surprisingly still is a threat down-field, and his speed will make him effective all across the gridiron. But with becoming the only receiver on a team means inconsistency. Avery could catch two 50-yard TD's one week, and be completely shut out the next. We love his play-making ability, but he's only worth drafting unless you have more reliable receivers ahead of him.

Josh Brown. He kicks in a dome, and has a huge leg. Josh Brown was 6/8 from 50 yards and beyond last season, and oddly, he was better from 50+ than he was from 40-49. He has a long-term contract, and is one of the purest kickers in the league, but a poor Rams' offense limits him from kicking extra points. Brown isn't in control of his fantasy future for now. If the Rams can give him more opportunities to kick medium range field goals, and provide more than 19 extra points, Brown is an elite fantasy kicker.

Will Turner fall to the 'Curse of 370'?

2009-07-15T09:30:00.000-07:00

Michael Turner led the league in carries, and finished second in yards (1,699) and second in TD's (17) in his first season in Atlanta, and his first as a starter. He actually amassed more fantasy points in 2008 than Adrian Peterson did.

Does that make him the top pick in this year's fantasy draft?

Before you get too anxious and grab Turner with the top spot overall, or even anything below that, take a look:

Turner had 376 carries in '08, making him a product of the "Curse of 370". The 'Curse' has been a trend discovered in fantasy football over the last few seasons. Having exceeding the 370 carries last season, history dictates that Turner should experience a large decline in statistical output in 2009.

Over the last ten years, nine running backs exceeded 370 carries in a season. The only one who didn't experience a drop-off statistically: LaDainian Tomlinson.

Edgerrin James had 2,303 total yards and 18 TD's in 2000.

He had 855 yards and 3 TD's in 2001.

Eddie George had 1,962 total yards and 16 TD's in 2000.

He had 1,218 yards and 5 TD's in 2001.

Ricky Williams had 2,216 total yards and 17 TD's in 2002.

He had 1,723 yards and 10 TD's in 2003.

Ricky Williams also had 370 carries in 2003.

He did not play in 2004.

LaDainian Tomlinson had 2,172 total yards and 15 TD's in 2003.

He had 2,370 yards and 17 TD's in 2004.

Jamal Lewis had 2,271 total yards and 14 TD's in 2003.

He had 1,122 yards and 7 TD's in 2004.

Curtis Martin had 1,942 total yards and 14 TD's in 2004.

He had 853 yards and 5 TD's in 2005.

Shaun Alexander had 1,958 total yards and 28 TD's in 2005.

He had 944 yards and 7 TD's in 2006.

Larry Johnson had 2,199 total yards and 19 TD's in 2006.

He had 745 yards and 4 TD's in 2007.

So, will Michael Turner fall prey to the curse in 2009?

Turner is 27 years old, but having played only one full season, he might be strong enough to take another heavy load in 2009.

If Turner experiences any sort of decline this season, he will be added as a victim of the curse. With that said, majority of running backs who exceed the benchmark typically get injured. He hasn't been around the league long enough to prove himself an iron-man, so there is some risk in grabbing Turner as he will probably be up and around 350 carries this season - if he stays healthy.

But the Atlanta Falcons have expressed interest in developing the passing game in '09, even more so with the acquisition of veteran TE Tony Gonzalez.

And although it looks like the Falcons have been taking steps to ease Turner's workload in 2009, he still will be the first option on their offense, resulting in a second season of constant vulnerability.

We don't think Turner is worthy of the No. 1 draft pick in 2009, but given that, he should easily be scooped up in the first five.

Preseason Analysis: Brandon Marshall

2009-06-15T18:00:00.000-07:00

Brandon Marshall wants out of Denver. Marshall reportedly requested the trade from team owner Pat Bowlen on Friday.

The Pro Bowl receiver, who will be entering his fourth season, did not attend the mandatory weekend mini camps. Marshall is demanding a trade, stating that he is underpaid and very uncomfortable with the Broncos staff.

Last year, Denver’s medical team wrongly diagnosed Marshall’s hip injury. Regardless, he underwent hip surgery on March 31, 2009, and shouldn’t be ready to practice until the end of July.

At $2.2 million a season, the Broncos are getting a huge deal with Marshall. An astronomically low contract for his caliber combined an inexperienced staff, and Brandon Marshall wants out of Denver.

No teams have currently expressed interest in Marshall thus far. He has been a constant legal hassle throughout his college and professional career, which might deem him ‘untradeable’. However, he is a tall receiving threat that could draw exposure to teams such as the Giants, Ravens, Bears and Eagles.

Marshall has pulled down 100+ receptions and 1,200 receiving yards in each of the last two seasons.

If he wants out of Denver, he will certainly have to get his legal and medical issues under control. Whether he remains a Bronco in 2009 is unknown, but we like his odds of a third consecutive 100-reception season.

Treat him as a low-end #1 receiver in most fantasy formats.

Preseason Analysis: Shonn Greene

2009-06-15T17:18:00.000-07:00

The New York Jets signed rookie running back Shonn Greene to a four-year deal with a reported $905,000 signing bonus on Monday.

Greene was drafted as the first pick on the NFL Draft’s second day, as the Jets traded up twelve slots to acquire the Iowa product in the third round.

Greene emerged as a viable draft selection in the 2008 season, rushing for 1850 yards and 20 touchdowns in his last season as a Hawkeye. He concluded a stellar season by rushing for 100+ yards and three touchdowns in an Outback Bowl victory against South Carolina.

Shonn Greene should be looked at with some caution entering his rookie season. Although we don’t doubt his ability as a powerhouse running back, academic issues he encountered throughout college may be risky.

If he can put his past struggles beside, he can be the red zone back in New York, listed at a stout 235 lbs. Greene is big; he’s tough and he’s the perfect fit to sub in for an aging Thomas Jones.

Currently, both Thomas Jones and Leon Washington are skipping out on voluntary workouts while in the middle of contract negotiations. And with the Jets’ inking Greene to a four-year deal, we don’t expect the Jets to hang onto both Jones and Washington.

Although we don’t recommend drafting Greene in standard leagues, we are very high on rookie running backs. He might be playing behind a 30-something Thomas Jones next season; Greene should be one depth chart spot away from breaking onto the fantasy scene. You should keep an eye on the Jets running back progressions.

Preseason Analysis: Big Ben

2009-06-06T11:58:00.000-07:00

Take a look at Eli Manning the last two years. He was merely an average quarterback in 2008, yet he won the Super Bowl in dramatic fashion. As a result, his draft stock skyrocketed, and he was regarded as an elite quarterback. People were actually debating which Manning brother was the better player. But despite his playoff success, he returned as an average quarterback in 2009. Expect the same thing from Ben Roethlisberger. Too many fantasy owners look too much into playoff success and let it affect the draft. Yes, Ben Roethlisberger has had one tremendous year. In 2007, he threw 32 TDs with a 104.1 QB rating, both career highs. But to counter his success, he has thrown only 17 TDs three times and 18 TDs once. And on top of his failure to score TDs, he has averaged 14 INTs per year over the last five seasons. He has never even threatened to reach 4,000 passing yards in a single season. Listen, we aren’t trying to say that he is a poor QB. Big Ben is the perfect fit for the Steelers because he can post decent numbers while taking a beating in the backfield. But his Super Bowl victory gives him much more attention than he deserves in the fantasy world. His injuries will continue to be a serious risk in drafting Roethlisberger. He played injured most of last season, and has missed several games throughout his career. The Big Ben we expect to see in 2009 will probably be a slight improvement from his 17 TD, 15 INT campaign in 2008. He barely ranks within the top-15 QBs this year, so he can be used as a solid bye-week filler. Be careful if you are in a league that takes points away for interceptions!

Preseason Analysis: Dwayne Bowe

2009-06-06T11:11:00.000-07:00

Things are on the rise in Kansas City – so is Dwayne Bowe.

Take a look at the new Chiefs’ coaching staff. Head coach Todd Haley was the Arizona Cardinals’ offensive coordinator in 2008. With Fitzgerald, Boldin and Breaston, they created only the fifth trio in NFL history to surpass 1,000 yards receiving. Haley will surely help to improve the receiving core – starting with Bowe.

Tony Gonzalez is out, but Matt Cassel is in. Dwayne Bowe is a mid-range possession receiver, which perfectly suits Cassel’s passing game. Bowe won’t see as many looks as Wes Welker did in 2008, but we guarantee that his number of receptions will increase with Cassel under center.

And while he won’t break the century mark in receptions, Bowe is now the only red zone threat in KC. 12 TDs isn’t remarkable in his first two seasons, but don’t rule out double digit TD receptions this season.

D-Bowe has shown great consistency thus far, a trait lacking in most young players.

There is a downside to Bowe, however. He was second in the league in dropped passes last year, finishing with 13. But, we think Bowe will be able to improve significantly this offseason. After all, Todd Haley coached the most dominant WR tandem in the NFL – led by Fitzgerald’s ‘best hands in the league’.

Bowe is now the top receiving option in Kansas City. He will lead the team in every statistical category. If he can stop dropping the ball, he will be a phenomenal receiver in 2009. We say that Bowe has the potential to be a low-end #1 receiver this fall.

Preseason Analysis: Kevin Smith

2009-06-05T19:49:00.000-07:00

Kevin Smith played on the worst team in the history of the NFL, and nearly reached 1000 yards last season. He battled for playing time the first semester of the season, but eventually emerged as the starter, receiving double-digit carries in 10 of the final 11 games – averaging a respectable 4.1 YPC along the way.

Even with the addition of Maurice Morris, and the starting-QB drama to ensue in Detroit, Kevin Smith will get plenty of playing time, as new head coach Jim Schwartz is a strong proponent of the run. And new additions in Matt Stafford, Brandon Pettigrew will help charge the offense.

Although we don’t support Smith's Twitter promise that: “We will definitely make the playoffs this season.”, we'll admith his team has improved in virtually every way imaginable.

Nonetheless, Smith is a surefire candidate for a 10 TD, 1000-yard campaign. And after a one dimensional rookie season, Schwartz will try to incorporate Kevin Smith into the passing game, regardless of who is under center.

This is one running back we don’t expect to have a sophomore slump. In fact, we consider Kevin Smith to be one of the top sleeper picks in the entire fantasy draft this year.

Draft him as a #2 RB, but remember, he is stocked with explosive potential.

Preseason Analysis: Marion Barber

2009-06-04T16:55:00.000-07:00

2008 was supposed to be the year that Barber emerged as a top tier running back in virtually every category. Julius Jones was shipped away to Seattle, giving ‘Marion the Barbarian’ more than just red zone carries.

But, all 2008 did for Barber was prove that his running style will not allow him to be the exclusive running back in Dallas.

Without Terrell Owens, however, Wade Phillips and Tony Romo will rely much more on their tailbacks. The RB core will receive more carries from the backfield, and Romo will hope to incorporate them in the passing game as well. Fortunately enough, the Cowboys are stocked with talented runners.

In his rookie season, Felix Jones showed loads of potential: posting an astounding 8.9 yards per carry before going down with a torn ligament.

While Barber struggled with various injuries of the 2008 season, Tashard Choice stepped up with 5.1 yards per carry against great defenses of Pittsburgh, New York (Giants), Baltimore, Philadelphia.

Barber is undeniably a fantastic runner, but his reckless technique will be too damaging for him to carry the ball 20+ times a game.

The result: Felix Jones and Tashard Choice will be taking the bulk of the carries in between the 20 yard-lines. Barber should be a red zone back that will see plenty of action. But, his health will continue to be a question.

We expect him to be within the top-three in rushing touchdowns for 2009, but 1000 yards will certainly be a challenge.

Rough Projection: 222 carries, 984 yards, 13 TD. 48 receptions, 366 yards, 2 TD.

How will Palmer fare without Housh?

2009-06-04T16:01:00.000-07:00

Carson Palmer is an obvious question mark among quarterbacks entering the 2009 season. He is on the road to recovery from an excruciating elbow injury that caused him to miss 12 games in 2008. His favorite target TJ Houshmandzadeh signed with the Seattle Seahawks, leaving a huge void in the already depleted Bengals’ wide receiver core. He has lashed out against his most talented wide receiver, Chad Ochocinco, scolding him for skipping offseason workouts.

Now, things are finally looking up for the USC graduate. Palmer is no longer on the offensive, but rather supporting Ochocinco, insisting the organization will welcome him into preseason camp: "I never once said anything about not wanting him here and not needing him. He's a Pro Bowl receiver. He's put up a ton of yards. He's extremely dangerous to cover. We would love him when he comes here, but he's not here right now."

Laveranues Coles join as a deep-ball threat, leaving the Bengals without a true possession receiver. They do have two young guys with plenty of potential: Chris Henry and Andre Caldwell. But, Coles will need to step up as a dependable leader to revive the team’s once explosive aerial assault.

The true question is whether Palmer’s report that his shoulder is “100% again” is reliable. If his statement is accurate, he should have no problem reaching another 25-TD, 3,800 passing yard season – numbers he has reached every season in which he started 16 games.

We trust he is telling the truth – Palmer should be considered an elite quarterback in any fantasy draft format.

T.O. Guarantees Successful Season

2009-05-18T16:38:00.000-07:00

Monday was the first day of the Buffalo Bills voluntary mini camps, as Owens joined his teammates and began assimilating into the offense.

Owens joined the Bills in early March after being released by the Dallas Cowboys. Currently, he is under a one year, $6.5 million contract.

As always, T.O. drew a large crowd – nearly a dozen local television crews showed up to report the casual day of no pads practice.

Part of the media craziness, T.O. was presented the key to the city from Mayor Brown. Jokingly, the mayor insisted that T.O. received the key in agreement that he score 10 TD’s and help the Bills to their first playoff berth in nearly a decade.

Double digits touchdowns shouldn’t be a problem for Owens. The last time he failed to do so was in 2005, when he only appeared in seven regular season games.

If the Bills-T.O. relationship remains drama-free, there is no reason why he shouldn’t be a top tier receiver.

Anybody who has owned T.O. will admit that he is not a ‘enjoyable’ fantasy player to keep on your roster, but unless something goes awry, he can emerge as a top five receiver yet again.

A 15 TD season happened in 2007 for him, and it is not incredibly unrealistic for his first year in Buffalo.

Favre Shoulder Surgery a Probability

2009-05-18T16:14:00.000-07:00

Brett Favre has scheduled to meet with Alabama orthopedist Dr. James Andrew on Tuesday, according to the St. Paul Pioneer Press. Favre, 39, previously stated in other reports that if the lingering shoulder injury required major surgery, he would remain retired. Rehabilitation from the surgery is expected to require between six and eight weeks, the Pioneer press reported. The surgery, a tear of a partially torn biceps tendon is regarded as a routine surgery that should have him fully recovered in time for training camp. Signs are showing towards Favre’s intentions of joining the Vikings, though nothing is official. Should Favre choose to return to the league, he will be free to sign with Minnesota, as the Jets released him into free agency. If Favre does return, we expect him to post numbers identical to 2008. He won’t be a reliable fantasy starter from week to week, but he can be an excellent bye-week replacement. As for Bernard Berrian and Percy Harvin, both have the potential to emerge as solid fantasy receivers. Both Jerricho Cotchery and Laveranues Coles were exceptional targets for Favre, and Berrian and Harvin can do the same. Berrian has the most value, and can optimistically be considered a high end #2 WR in standard leagues, with a lot of upside.

Bills' Lynch Appeals Suspension

2009-05-16T06:41:00.000-07:00

Marshawn Lynch has filed an appeal with the NFL contesting the suspension that he received last month.

Lynch was suspended for three games without pay in April when he pleaded guilty to a misdemeanor gun charge, a violation of the NFL’s personal conduct policy.

Lynch was arrested on February 11 when police searched a parked car carrying Lynch. The police found a.9 mm handgun, and four marijuana cigarettes, although no drug charges were filed.

After meeting with Goodell in March, Lynch publically expressed that he expected a suspension from the league’s front office.

This suspension was Lynch’s second encounter with the law, as he was charged with a hit-and-run last year in Buffalo.

If Lynch remains suspended for the three games, his stock as a running back plummets from top 10 RB to barely within top 20. The Bills have a solid backup in Fred Jackson, thus the Bills’ passing attack should remain fairly unchanged in Lynch’s absence.

Will Boldin Remain a Cardinal?

2009-05-16T06:26:00.000-07:00

A persistent question surrounding this year’s NFL offseason swirls around the fate of Anquan Boldin, and his future with the Arizona Cardinals.

While Boldin and his agent, Drew Rosenhaus, have been pursuing a contract upwards of $10 million a year, they released a new contract Friday, which reportedly is between $8-$9 million. This offer comes following the Seahawks signed T.J. Housmandzadeh to a five year, $40 million contract, and the Dallas Cowboys signed Roy Williams to a five year, $45 million contract. With lucrative deals for wide receivers this offseason, Drew Rosenhaus is demanding one for Boldin that equalizes his performance, saying: “"We just want a contract commensurate with his performance. You find me another guy with three Pro Bowls, the same number of yards, receptions, touchdowns and toughness”.

Rosenhaus has insured that Boldin will be traded or signed before trading camp.

Fortunately for the fantasy owner, Larry Fitzgerald showed no major signs of statistical change when Anquan Boldin missed a portion of the regular season due to a head injury. If Boldin sits out the 2009 season, or is traded to another team, Steve Breaston will void the gap, and make a bid for a second consecutive 1,000 yard season.

More to come regarding Boldin later in the week.

Rookie RB Analysis

2009-05-10T21:07:00.000-07:00

Knowshon Moreno. Denver has gone absolutely insane with signing free-agent running backs this offseason, considering the huge plague of injuries the RB (and FB) core suffered last season. Prominent names that they have acquired include Correll Buckhalter, J.J. Arrington and Lamont Jordan. On top of that, the Broncos have sophomore Ryan Torain and rookie Kestahn Moore to battle for carries. Although Moreno is the frontrunner to receive the bulk of the carries, the Broncos have been notorious for splitting carries. We question the future of the franchise with Josh McDaniels succeeding Mike Shanahan’s fifteen year term.

Donald Brown. Last season, the Indianapolis Colts ranked 31st in the league in rushing, second to only the Arizona Cardinals. The Colts 27th overall pick in Donald Brown confirms that change in their rushing attack is imminent. Incumbent Joseph Addai posted a paltry 3.5 yards per carry in 2008, showing that he is not the every-down back people once expected. With the departure of Dominic Rhodes, Brown will probably split carries to begin the season. Tony Dungy is out, and with it, we project the Colts to improve significantly from the 79.4 rushing YPG last season. Brown should be an essential part of that as he will easily topple the 150 carry mark.

Chris “Beanie” Wells. J.J. Arrington signed with the Denver Broncos; Edgerrin James was released several days after the draft, leaving Tim Hightower as sole competition for the rookie out of Ohio State. In 2008, Hightower proved his worth as a third down running back, but his 2.9 YPG shows that he cannot shoulder the full load. The only question surrounding Wells’ potential is his ability to stay healthy. If he does, he is in position to be the starting back in the desert. Granted, the Cardinals ranked dead last in rushing last season, but they showed true promise with rushing the ball in their postseason run, and we look for a more dynamic attack to emerge for the high-octane offense – with Beanie handling the ground game.

Rookie QB Analysis

2009-05-10T12:48:00.000-07:00

Matthew Stafford. Given that the Lions just pitched Georgia QB Matthew Stafford a six year contract worth $41.7 million in guarantees, it is probably safe to assume that he will be the starter come Week 1. Stafford has been ready for the NFL stage since Mel Kiper Jr. predicted that he would be the #1 overall pick in a draft three years ago! Detroit has traded Jon Kitna, and Dan Orvlosky, the guy most well-known for running for a safety, signed with Houston. With little competition (Drew Stanton) for the starting role, we expect Stafford to have a rookie year comparative to, or better than Matt Ryan’s 2008 season.

Mark Sanchez. The New York Jets didn’t give up three players and two draft picks for them not to utilize the fifth overall pick in the draft, Mark Sanchez. Similar to Stafford’s situation in Detroit, Sanchez has no competition in New York, as Kellen Clemens, with a whopping 59.3 career passer rating, is atop the Jets’ QB depth chart. Sanchez has the most upside of all of the rookie QB’s, given a deep set of WR’s to work with, and an already established running game, Sanchez will not only be the Week 1 starter, but our front-runner for Rookie of the Year. Realistically, the USC graduate remains a high-end number two QB, at least for now.

Josh Freeman. In 2008 for the Kansas State nearly scored as many touchdowns on the ground as he did in the air. Hopefully, Freeman will focus on his throwing power and accuracy rather than his mobility. As fun as they are, scrambling QB’s rarely lead successful teams or post good stats. While he too will probably earn the starting role for Tampa, we project him to be no more than a bye-week filler.

2009 NFL Draft: First Round Impact

2009-05-10T12:30:00.000-07:00

* denotes high-impact fantasy player * denotes impact fantasy player 1. Detroit Lions - Matthew Stafford (QB) 2. St. Louis Rams - Jason Smith (OT) 3. Kansas City Chiefs - Tyson Jackson (DE) 4. Seattle Seahawks - Aaron Curry (OLB) 5. New York Jets - Mark Sanchez (QB) 6. Cincinnati Bengals - Andre Smith (OT) 7. Oakland Raiders - Darrius Heyward-Bey (WR) 8. Jacksonville Jaguars - Eugene Monroe (OT) 9. Green Bay Packers - B.J. Raji (DT) 10. San Francisco 49ers - Michael Crabtree (WR) 11. Buffalo Bills - Aaron Maybin (DE) 12. Denver Broncos - Knowshon Moreno (RB) 13. Washington Redskins - Brian Orakpo (DE) 14. New Orleans Saints - Malcom Jenkings (CB) 15. Houston Texans - Brian Cushing (OLB) 16. San Diego Chargers - Larry English (DE) 17. Tampa Bay Buccaneers - Josh Freeman (QB) 18. Denver Broncos - Robert Ayers (LB) 19. Philadelphia Eagles - Jeremy Maclin (WR) 20. Detroit Lions - Brandon Pettigrew (TE) 21. Cleveland Browns - Alex Mack (C) 22. Minnesota Vikings - Percy Harvin (WR) 23. Baltimore Ravens - Michael Oher (OT) 24. Atlanta Falcons - Peria Jerry (DT) 25. Miami Dolphins - Vontae Davis (CB) 26. Green Bay Packers - Clay Matthews (OLB) 27. Indianapolis Colts - Donald Brown (RB) 28. Buffalo Bills - Eric Wood (C) 29. New York Giants - Hakeem Nicks (WR) 30. Tennessee Titans - Kenny Britt (WR) 31. Arizona Cardinals - Chris Wells (RB) 32. Pittsburgh Steelers - Evander Hood (DT) High-impact rookies are those that will most likely be a fought over draft pick, as well as being a potential starter on a standard fantasy line up. Impact fantasy rookies are skilled position players who will be draft-worthy, but are currently viewed as a slot starter on a fantasy team.

2009 NFL Mock Draft

2009-03-03T19:54:00.000-08:00

1. Detroit Lions - Matthew Stafford, QB, Georgia ~The debate is raging on what philosophy the Lions should use in this position. The Lions have a number of options at this spot: take a franchise QB, choose from its pick of the strong offensive tackle class, or take the best player defensive player available. Remember: the Lions have only used one first-round pick on a defensive player since 1999. If the Lions opt not to go with Stafford (or perhaps USC QB Mark Sanchez), they could go with a top-flight offensive tackle, possibly Alabama OT Andre Smith or Virginia OT Eugene Monroe or Ole Miss OT Michael Oher. Certainly there are plenty of great players at offensive tackle to choose from at this spot, and emulating the Dolphins (who went from 1-15 in 2007 to 11-5 in 2008) by taking an offensive tackle at the top spot in the draft might be a wise move. OLB Aaron Curry may also be a consideration, but with OLB Ernie Sims under contract for two more years, Detroit will likely not go with an outside linebacker at the top spot. The Lions have two picks in the first round of the 2009 Draft thanks to the Roy Williams trade, and there will be quality defensive players from whom they can choose later on in round one. Factor into that the team's pick at the top of round two, and there will be other chances for the Lions to rebuild its defense. 2. St. Louis Rams - Jason Smith, OT, BaylorThis is a deep draft at offensive tackle, and the Rams could be in position to have their pick of the litter. Mel Kiper was ahead of the curve in predicting Jason Smith as a high pick, and he very well could end up going to the Rams at this spot. Smith bench-pressed 225 pounds 33 times at the combine, and he may have separated himself from the rest of the very strong offensive tackle pack with that performance. Future hall of fame offensive tackle Orlando Pace is under contract with the Rams through 2011, but his base salary is steep: $5.975 million in 2009, $7.175 million in 2010, and $8.375 million in 2011. Pace is 33, and while he is a talented player, his presence on the roster is not necessarily an indication that the Rams would pass on an offensive tackle with a high first round pick. Adding Smith, along with the signing of free agent center Jason Brown (from Baltimore), would provide an instant improvement to the Rams' offensive line. 3. Kansas City Chiefs - Eugene Monroe, OT, VirginiaSo much for Kansas City taking Mark Sanchez here. With the Chiefs having traded for Patriots QB Matt Cassel, the Chiefs will likely either take OLB Aaron Curry or go for an offensive lineman. At 6'5" 315, Monroe has great size and is known for blocking multiple defenders on the same play. His stock is on the rise despite the stiff competition in the offensive tackle category, and while he hasn't received the attention of some of the other top tier talent, Monroe has the skills to be a strong NFL talent for many years. 4. Seattle Seahawks - Michael Crabtree, WR, Texas Tech ~Michael Crabtree is considered by most experts to be the top wide receiver prospect in the draft -- and he left school as just a redshirt sophomore. Certainly his performance on national TV in hauling in the game-winning TD catch for the Red Raiders in their win over Texas brought him plenty of attention, but Crabtree is an overall solid player who is quite possibly the best sophomore-eligible NFL wide receiver prospect to come along since Larry Fitzgerald in 2004. Some consider Crabtree to be the best overall prospect in the draft, and he would be an ideal fit in Seattle. Crabtree requires surgery on the stress fracture in his left foot, and after indicating initially that he would wait for his pro day to run, he has now decided to have surgery now and not run the 40. In my estimation, Crabtree has already shown enough talent and brilliance to where I see him going to Seattle at this spot. Before the combine, Crabtree going to Seattle looked like the safest bet in the draft as far as an accurate projection goes. Now? Not quite as much, but still Crabtree is very talented and Seattle will likely be hard pressed to pass on him at this spot. 5. Cleveland Browns - Aaron Curry, OLB, Wake ForestCurry has managed to work his way to the top of most defensive prospect lists, and it would be no surprise for him to be a top five pick in the draft. He played his way into this spot with an outstanding 2008 senior season. At 6'2" 245 pounds, Curry runs a 4.6 40 and has an incredible knack for finding the ball. Seeing Curry in a 3-4 defense would be interesting, but he is such a strong prospect that he would project highly in *any* defensive scheme. It's also possible that the Browns might consider Ohio State CB Malcolm Jenkins at this spot. 6. Cincinnati Bengals - Andre Smith, OT, AlabamaI still think Andre Smith is the best long-term offensive tackle prospect in the bunch. But, with Smith opting not to work out at the combine and there being some confusion on his plans, there are questions still swirling around him. But, with a good pro day, Smith could find himself back in the top ten mix, potentially ending up in Cincinnati. Consider this: in 2008, the Bengals were #30 in passing offense and #29 in rushing offense. To be fair, the injury of QB Carson Palmer contributed to this, but so did the departure of offensive tackle Willie Anderson to Baltimore in the last off-season. And, with the Bengals losing OT Stacy Andrews to free agency, adding an elite offensive tackle would seem to be a top priority for the Bengals. 7. Oakland Raiders - Jeremy Maclin, WR, Missouri ~While still very raw as a wide receiver, Maclin brings a big play kick return ability that would allow him to immediately impact special teams in a positive way. The Raiders could use youthful talent at wide receiver, and with Maclin's lightning speed he would seem like an appealing choice for Raiders owner Al Davis. His superb kick return skills give Maclin an extra edge over the rest of the wide receiver prospects. 8. Jacksonville Jaguars - Rey Maualuga, ILB, USCA playmaker who can cover sideline-to-sideline, Maualuga would be a great addition to any NFL team. A playmaker who can cover sideline-to-sideline, Maualuga would be a great addition to any NFL team, and he has the leadership skills to provide a strong shot in the arm for Jacksonville's defense. 9. Green Bay Packers - Malcolm Jenkins, CB, Ohio StateConsider this: Charles Woodson is 32 and Al Harris (who suffered a ruptured spleen earlier this year) is 34. The Packers need youth at corner in a major way. Jenkins might have been a top 15 pick had he come out last year, but with another year of seasoning on the college level he looks like the clear top cornerback prospect, and a likely top ten selection. 10. San Francisco 49ers - Mark Sanchez, QB, USC ~Alex Smith hasn't been the answer for the 49ers, and Sanchez has emerged as the second-ranked QB prospect besides Matthew Stafford. For the 49ers to return to greatness, they will likely need to find a top-flight signal caller to lead the offense. And, unless they somehow manage to sign QB Kurt Warner (who is likely simply using the 49ers for leverage in negotiations with Arizona), taking Sanchez at this spot makes a great deal of sense. 11. Buffalo Bills - B.J. Raji, DT, Boston CollegePeria Jerry is tempting as a pass rushing threat from the DT position, but Raji, at 6'1" 325, has the bulk to fill the middle arguably better than Perry would. Moreover, Raji had an outstanding Senior Bowl week, to the point where he might end up as a top ten selection. 12. Denver Broncos - Brian Orakpo, DE, TexasOrakpo is a talented defensive end who could be a wonderful addition to the Broncos. Denver is shifting to a 3-4 defense for 2009, and Orakpo at 6'3" 265 pounds should be able to handle being a 3-4 DE. 13. Washington Redskins - Michael Oher, OT, Ole MissOher is an outstanding pass blocker, and despite a difficult past he turned into one of the nation's best college offensive linemen. Oher didn't have a great combine, but he is a freakishly talented player who, with the right coaching, could turn into an All-Pro. 14. New Orleans Saints - Brian Cushing, OLB, USCThe Saints held true to what was expected and signed free agent MLB Jonathan Vilma to a new contract. Vilma, who excels as a 4-3 MLB, had a tremendous 2008 season for New Orleans. Without a second or third round pick in 2009, the Saints need to make a strong pick here, and Cushing would be a great addition to the team. He has great size, speed, and has shown poise and skill in big games. The Saints could use a high-end center, and this draft has a couple of them -- but taking one at this spot would be a major stretch. Trading down might be a good idea if that is the objective of the Saints, as they could potentially obtain a second or third round selection as a result. 15. Houston Texans - Everette Brown, DE, Florida State ~Brown had 13.5 sacks this past season for the Seminoles, and he would be an interesting addition to the Raiders. At 6'4" 250, Brown has great size, and his 4.65 speed presents a great combination for him coming off of the end position. The Texans have a great defensive end with Mario Williams, but they could use a player like Brown to bring pressure from the left defensive end position. It's possible that the Texans could draft Brown with the idea of converting him into an OLB, but a player like Penn State OLB/DE Aaron Maybin would likely be a better choice for such a move. 16. San Diego Chargers - Chris "Beanie" Wells, RB, Ohio State ~LaDainian Tomlinson turns 30 later this year, and while he has had a tremendous career, there are widespread rumors that the Chargers are pondering cutting LT. San Diego used its franchise tag on RB Darren Sproles, but that could simple allow the Chargers to have security to go with a rookie running back if the plan really is to take a RB in this position. Note that there have been recent whispers that the Chargers are looking to keep Tomlinson with a reduced salary for 2009. If that happens, I wouldn't expect San Diego to draft a running back at this spot -- especially considering that San Diego does not have a second round pick in the 2009 Draft. There are some who consider Georgia RB Knowshon Moreno to be a superior prospect, but for now I have Wells going over Moreno based on his impressive size and how great of a contrast he would be with the 5'6" Sproles. 17. New York Jets - Knowshon Moreno, RB, Georgia ~In some ways I question the idea of the Jets not trying to stretch one more year out of the combo of Thomas Jones and Leon Washington, but the chance to land Moreno might be too enticing to pass up. The Jets might be tempted to trade up to get Moreno if they fear that San Diego might take him at #16, but of course that hinges on how the new braintrust with the Jets evaluates the relative skills of Wells and Moreno. 18. Chicago Bears - Tyson Jackson, DE, LSUJackson might have been a first round pick had he come out for last year's draft. In 2008 he fell off the radar to a degree due to LSU having a down year, but he has worked his way back into contention at the defensive end position. The Bears have already locked in DT Tommie Harris to a long-term deal, and adding Jackson to a defensive line that already has Harris and DE Alex Brown would make the team even tougher up front. 19. Tampa Bay Buccaneers - Peria Jerry, DT, Ole MissThe Bucs were in the running for free agent DT Albert Haynesworth up until the end, but the Redskins landed him. It was Haynesworth or bust for teams wanting an elite defensive tackle, so the Bucs must look elsewhere to fill that spot. Jerry has had a strong season at Ole Miss, and he has moved into strong first round projection territory with his performance and with this being such a weak draft at defensive tackle. The Bucs once had a defensive tackle with great pass-rushing skills with Warren Sapp, and while it's not fair to hold Jerry to Sapp's standards (at least on the field), Jerry could be a strong pickup for a Bucs defense that folded down the stretch in 2008. There are a wide variety of options for the Buccaneers at this spot, but picking Jerry here makes a great deal of sense. 20. Detroit Lions (from Cowboys) - James Laurinaitis, ILB, Ohio StateIf the Lions take a QB with their own first round pick (the #1 overall selection), they most likely would go defense with this selection. There is plenty of work to be done in Detroit on a defense that was mostly neglected (at least as far as first round pick use went) under former GM Matt Millen, and Laurinaitis could have an instant impact on the team. 21. Philadelphia Eagles - Brandon Pettigrew, TE, Oklahoma StateOne year ago the Eagles used their franchise tag to retain tight end L.J. Smith. It seems unlikely that the team would do that again, and short of Smith signing a long-term deal with Philly, the Eagles could be in the market for a tight end. At this point Pettigrew looks like the best of the bunch with Oklahoma TE Jermaine Gresham going back to school for 2009. At 6'6" 260 Pettigrew has great size and appears to have the ability to block on an NFL quality level. He is also a receiving threat, and adding him to the mix in Philly would be quite intriguing. 22. Minnesota Vikings - Alex Mack, C, CaliforniaPart of a strong crop of players at center, Mack is a skilled player who is talented at snapping (be it shotgun or traditional) and blocking. With Matt Birk an unrestricted free agent and apparently not coming back to Minnesota, Mack could be a strong addition to the Vikings lineup who might be called upon to play right away. 23. New England Patriots - D.J. Moore, CB, Vanderbilt ~An important part of the defense that lead Vanderbilt to its first bowl game since 1982, Moore is heading to the NFL -- where he could be a great pickup by New England. He has already shown that he can handle man-to-man matchups with some elite WR talent, which should make him an appealing pick for New England. The Patriots lost CB Asante Samuel to free agency last year, and giving a boost to that position by bringing a player with Moore's shut-down ability could be great. The Patriots might also consider drafting Wake Forest CB Alphonso Smith with this selection. 24. Atlanta Falcons - Aaron Maybin, DE/OLB, Penn State ~The Falcons have cut OLB Keith Brooking (who turns 34 this year). Maybin is in some ways a raw talent, but with good speed and great athleticism, Maybin could be a good fit for the Falcons defensive front seven. Moreover, Maybin could also provide depth at the defensive end position, which would be a win-win for Atlanta. 25. Miami Dolphins - Percy Harvin, WR, Florida ~The Dolphins could use a solid OLB, but instead of stretching to take one here the Dolphins could land an amazing talent in Harvin. Harvin has great speed, to be sure, but what makes him really stand out is his uncanny knack for not only running great routes but also in getting open. While I could see the Dolphins trading down here in Bill Parcells expert draft style, if Miami has the chance to draft Harvin here that could be a great move for a team that already has an emerging star with Ted Ginn, Jr. 26. Baltimore Ravens - Vontae Davis, CB, Illinois ~The Ravens cut longtime CB Chris McAlister earlier this month, and a logical progression for the Ravens would be to bring in a young player like Davis who, in time, could develop into a great pro cornerback. At 6'0" 205 Davis has average height for the position, but it's his speed and knack for breaking up passing plays that makes him look so good as a pro prospect. 27. Indianapolis Colts - Sen'Derrick Marks, DT, Auburn ~The Colts rely on defensive pressure from its front four to pressure the quarterback with its Cover 2 defense. Moreover, the team looks to the interior defensive line to stop the run, which has been a hit-or-miss proposition in recent years. At 6'1" (or 6'2" depending on who you believe) and 295 pounds, Marks would be able to help turn around the interior defensive line problems of the team. The DT position has been hit hard in the past two seasons, with the career-ending knee injury in August 2007 suffered by Anthony McFarland (who the Colts acquired for a second-round pick in 2006) and then the release of starting DT Ed Johnson early in the 2008 season after Johnson was arrested for possession of marijuana. 28. Philadelphia Eagles (from Panthers) - Eben Britton, OT, ArizonaBoth starting offensive tackles for the Eagles, Jon Runyan and Tra Thomas, are slated to be unrestricted free agents, and it's a distinct possibility that one (if not both) will be leaving the team. However, the Eagles in this scenario would have missed out on the first wave of offensive tackles by the time pick #21 came up, so it makes sense for the Eagles to snag Brandon Pettigrew at #21 and then go for Britton at this spot. 29. New York Giants - Fili Moala, DT, USCMoala is part of a fantastic USC defense, and he would be a nice fit for an already strong Giants front four. With DE Osi Umenyiora returning from a left knee injury that ended his 2008 season before it began, the Giants could become even more fearsome on its front four defensive front in 2009 with Umenyiora back and with the massive Moala plugging the middle. 30. Tennessee Titans - Darrius Heyward-Bey, WR, Maryland ~Heyward-Bey has an unusual combination of size (6'2" 205) and world-class speed (he ran a 4.30 40 at the combine), so much so that on one play early in the 2008 season he literally *outran* double-coverage en route to an open touchdown reception. Moreover, with Chris Carr as a free agent, Heyward-Bey would be an intriguing addition at the kick return spot. 31. Arizona Cardinals - LeSean McCoy, RB, Pittsburgh ~The Cardinals have a rather strong need for a franchise running back. Edgerrin James turns 31 in August, and for a third straight season he finished with a sub 4.0 yards per carry rushing average in 2008. He's also due a $5 million base salary in 2009. Tim Hightower had an even worse average than James, with an anemic 2.8 yards per carry in the 2008 regular season. J.J. Arrington had only 31 carries and is an unrestricted free agent as of March 1. McCoy is a very talented running back who would provide an instant boost to the Cardinals rushing attack. At 5'11" 210 he has decent size, but it's his sub 4.5 speed that helps make him be considered such a strong prospect. 32. Pittsburgh Steelers - Max Unger, C/OG, OregonUnger played center at Oregon, but he could potentially play both center and guard for the Steelers. Pittsburgh retained OG Chris Kemoeatu with a five-year contract, but Unger could still be a valuable addition to a Steelers team that needs some fresh blood on its offensive line. *Provided by Draft King

49ers RB Foster May Start

2008-12-11T22:26:00.000-08:00

San Francisco 49ers running back, Frank Gore, was held out of practice again on Thursday. DeShaun Foster is likely to start Sunday against Miami in place of injured Frank Gore. Coach Mike Singletary said it will be a game-time decision.

Hillis Place On Injured Reserve

2008-12-09T18:09:00.000-08:00

Peyton Hillis became Denver's fifth running back to be place on IR this season (Andre Hall, Michael Pittman, Anthony Aldrige, Ryan Torain). In addition, Selvin Young has been ineffective in the last two months due to an everlasting groin injury. The seventh running back on Denver's depth chart will be Tatum Bell, with PJ Pope probably stealing some carries in between Impact: Before being resigned by the Broncos a short time earlier, Tatum Bell was selling cell phones at a local mall. In short, this is probably not a guy you will want to pick up and utilize. With only three weeks left in the season, Bell should only be acquired as a last resort, and even then he should not be started. The Denver running back situation is already unpredictable enough...

Peyton Hillis Out With Hamstring Injury

2008-12-07T16:21:00.000-08:00

Peyton Hillis left Sunday's game against the Chiefs with what is reported to be a hamstring injury. Prior to the injury, Hillis carried the ball 8 times for 58 yards and a score. As of now, his status for next week is still up in the air. Impact: Hillis has been a valuable asset to several teams over the closing weeks of the season. He has a fairly rough schedule ahead of him in the next three weeks, but he still remains a solid play pending his health. Keep an eye on Hillis as the week progresses, he has scored 5 TD' in his last four games and should continue the trend barring a setback on his hamstring.

McFadden Useless At Home

2008-12-05T06:19:00.001-08:00

Darren McFadden only received one carry last night against the Chargers, for a grand total of zero yards. McFadden has had an extremely disappointing year, especially considering many expected him to follow in the footsteps of Adrian Peterson. Impact: Everyone that is in the fantasy football playoffs should be smart enough to avoid this guy. He has had only two decent games all year and they came against atrocious defenses (DEN, KC). McFadden has two of his three final games against tough opponents this year. Not only is DMC a guy you need to keep out of your starting lineup, but there might be better handcuffs on the waiver wire.

Vincent Jackson Explodes vs. Oakland

2008-12-05T06:12:00.000-08:00

Vincent Jackson had his best game of the season Thursday night, posted 5 receptions for 148 yards and an endzone score. The main reason behind his performance was essentially because of Chris Chambers. Blanket cornerback Nnamdi Asomugha, the team's only secondary threat, covered Chambers and Jackson was left alone. Impact: Jackson is incredibly underrated considering the number's he posts. He is unowned in 8% of ESPN leagues, yet ranks within the top-15 of receivers. He is a fairly risky play, because he doesn't post a lot of receptions, but he has caught a deep ball in all but one game this season. With two fairly soft opponents in weeks 15 & 17 (KC, DEN), Jackson will be a solid start as a mid-end number 2 receiver or high-end number 3.

Steven Jackson Limited In Practice

2008-12-05T05:44:00.001-08:00

For the second consecutive day, Rams RB Steven Jackson was limited in practice with a thigh injury. He is listed as probable on the injury report. Jackson only got one carry in the fourth quarter on last Sunday's game. With an extra week to let his thigh rest, he will have an extra fifteen minutes to rack up more touches. Impact: Jackson is facing a run defense that allows nearly 100 YPG. He got 22 touches last week in Miami, and he is reportedly supposed to be getting more this week in Arizona. Steven Jackson is only being started in 58% of ESPN leagues. As of right now, Steven Jackson can be considered a low-end number 1 fantasy RB. Unless something unforeseen happens, start him with confidence.

Dr. Scout's Medical Report

2008-12-03T13:09:00.000-08:00

Ben Roethlisberger left practice early Wednesday with a knee injury. According to Roethlisberger, he slipped on the practice field, although the injury is not expected to be serious. Backup quarterback Byron Leftwich took Roethlisberger's place, and he will start Sunday if Big Ben can't play. Either way, you probably have better options, and it would be best to avoid a quarterback facing a Dallas secondary that is on the rise. Donnie Avery didn't practice Wednesday because of a hip injury, but he is still listed as probable on the injury report. Avery is a guy fantasy owners should have given up on several weeks ago. He has only had two good games this season and has been cold as of late: catching only 1 ball for 14 yards in his last two games. This week, he faces an underrated Arizona secondary. You'll want to keep this rookie on the bench unless you are desperate. Steven Jackson says his thigh doesn't feel any worse than it did before the game against Miami on Sunday. There's always a chance that Jackson could re-injure himself, but after seeing him take 21 carries on Sunday, he appears to be healthy. Start him with confidence: He is playing a defense that Brian Westbrook tore up for 4 TD's last week. Marion Barber is not expected to practice at all this week. Barber left the game last week with a dislocated toe injury. He will probably suit up to play this week, but he will be losing a significant amount of carries to RB Tashard Choice. It's tough to sit a stud running back like Barber, but it would be a good idea to keep him on your bench this week: he is playing the NFL's best run defense in Pittsburgh. That on top of his toe injury, and "Marion the Barbarian" is a risky start. Clinton Portis is really banged up with neck, knee and hip injuries. Don't take this too seriously, as Portis hasn't been a participant at practice for three weeks now. He is listed as questionable on the injury report, and he will probably be another game-time decision. Portis is facing a tenacious Raven's defense, but it'll be hard to sit a guy like Portis. Selvin Young is slated to return from his groin injury this week. For those of you who have been holding onto him for the last six weeks, it won't pay off. The Broncos seem to be committing to Peyton Hillis, and Young will not see a significant amount of carries, at least not this week. Odds are you have better options than him if you have made the fantasy playoffs this year. But if not, be cautious using a guy who has missed the last six weeks with a nagging injury. More injury updates to come as the week progresses.

Peyton Manning Ineffective in Cleveland

2008-11-30T17:24:00.000-08:00

Peyton Manning had his worst statistical game of the season, despite still picking up a win. It was Manning's first game where he didn't throw for 200+ yards (125 yards) and only the second game this season that he didn't throw a touchdown. He also tied his season high of interceptions with 2. Impact: Manning remains a top tier quarterback that is too good to keep on the virtual fantasy pine. Manning's performance against the 20th ranked pass defense must be overlooked. He has arguably the easiest schedule to close out the season (Cincinnati, Detroit, Jacksonville, Tennessee). Peyton should be a lock for 220 passing yards and 2 touchdowns in each of the upcoming games. Start him with confidence entering the fantasy playoffs.

Steven Jackson Productive Despite Thigh Injury

2008-11-30T15:19:00.000-08:00

The guy you "wasted" a top-ten draft pick on will finally start to pay dividends when it matters most. Steven Jackson hasn't seen a considerable amount of action since Week 7, but showed no rust as he posted a solid game against the ninth-ranked rush defense in the Miami Dolphins. Jackson ran 21 times for 94 yards, for an average of 4.5 YAC (which is .7 higher than the Dolphins average). Impact: If his thigh holds up, Jackson will be an excellent fantasy start in the next four weeks. He has a considerably easy schedule ahead of him (Arizona, Seattle, San Francisco, Atlanta). Seeing how effective Jackson was coming off a persistent thigh injury, he should light up these weaker run defenses when he is at full strength.

Lance Moore Extends TD Streak

2008-11-30T14:56:00.000-08:00

New Orleans Saints receiver Lance Moore has now caught a touchdown pass in each of his last five games. During that span, he has recorded six TD's while averaging 80 YPG. Plus, with Marques Colston and Jeremy Shockey now fresh in the lineup, Moore will draw weaker corners, which will add up to similar, if not better numbers in the closing weeks. Impact: Moore is available in 10% of ESPN leagues, despite ranking within the top-10 of all receivers. With a couple favorable opponents ahead (Atlanta, Detroit), Moore is not only a great waiver pick up for this week, but a must-start when he is facing weaker secondaries. Look for his touchdown streak to continue next week vs. the Falcons as Drew Brees continues to establish chemistry with him.

Lynch Tears Up San Francisco

2008-11-30T13:19:00.000-08:00

Worry not Marshawn Lynch owners. Lynch had his third straight respectable performance today, recording 16 carries for 134 yards against a weak 49ers defense. This brute-force back thrives during the second semester of the season. In '07, Lynch's YPC was 1.0 more during the months of November and December. Lynch's running style is based off of breaking tackles, which tends to be more difficult when the weather turns for the worse. Impact: Marshawn Lynch has three of his final four games on the east coast, which instantly automatically makes Lynch a must-start in all formats.

McClain is Baltimore's Primary RB

2008-11-30T13:11:00.001-08:00

The running back situation in Baltimore has provided many fantasy owners with an everlasting headache this season. Willis McGahee, Ray Rice and Le'Ron McClain have consistently traded off carries and goal line scores throughout the season. McClain managed majority of the workload this week, carrying the ball 25 times. Ray Rice got 11 carries and McGahee didn't see any action this week. Impact: McClain has been the primary back for two consecutive weeks now. Still, the current status is bound to change at any time, and with a fairly tough schedule ahead of the Ravens in the next few weeks, it would be a gamble to start any Baltimore RB. Ray Rice and Willis McGahee will prove to have little value in upcoming weeks, while McClain will be no more than a flex play.